Scotiabank Pacific Alliance Expansion
Consumer and Business Activity
Business Confidence - CFIB Business Barometer
80
180
index, 50 stronger
160
140
70
3-month moving
120
average
100
60
80
60
50
40
20
40
40
30
20
20
11
12
13
14
Sources: Scotiabank Economics, CFIB.
mn, saar units
2.0
1.8
1.6
1.4
1.2
1.0
0.8
0.6
Headline index
6-month moving
average
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
Canada Auto Sales
Key Economic Indicators
index, Feb 2020 levels = 100
Jul-20
Aug-20
Feb-20
Mar-20
Apr-20
Auto Sales
Mfg Shipments
Exports
May-20
Jun-20
Housing Starts
Retail Sales
Sep-20
Oct-20
Nov-20
Dec-20
Jan-21
Feb-21
Mar-21
Sources: Scotiabank Economics, Bloomberg.
Canada Real Retail Sales
120
Feb 2020-100
110
100
90
90
80
70
70
Apr-21
Employment
Manufacturing PMI
0.4
Q1-19 Q2-19 Q3-19 Q4-19 Q1-20 Q2-20 Q3-20 Q4-20 Q1-21 Q2-21 Q3-21 Q4-21
60
Sources: Scotiabank Economics, DesRosiers Automotive Consultants Inc.
Jan-19 Apr-19 Jul-19 Oct-19 Jan-20
Sources: Scotiabank Economics, Statistics Canada.
Apr-20 Jul-20
Oct-20 Jan-21
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