HY 2023 Results and Growth Prospects slide image

HY 2023 Results and Growth Prospects

Price support for our commodities compared to H2 Aluminium1 (-24% YoY) 2,000 1,500 1,000 Jan-20 Jul-20 Jan-21 Jul-21 Jan-22 Jul-22 Jan-23 Jul-23 For personal use only 4,000 3,500 3,000 Copper² (-10% YoY) 900 500 750 450 600 400 450 350 300 300 150 250 TiO2 (chloride slag) (+12% YoY) 1,100 1,000 900 800 700 0 200 Jan-20 Jul-20 Jan-21 Jul-21 Jan-22 Jul-22 Jan-23 Jul-23 Jan-20 Jul-20 Jan-21 Jul-21 Price (c/lb) Jan-22 Jul-22 Jan-23 Jul-23 ----HY Average LME Aluminium ($/t) ----HY Average MWP (RHS) Global aluminium demand has been resilient in H1, YTD +2% YOY, with growth in automotive and solar markets offsetting weaker demand from the construction sector Aluminium production has been stable, as smelting capacity has remained offline in Europe and idle capacity in China has only restarted gradually, resulting in 1% YTD global growth Global reported inventories are flat YTD and reported stocks in China have remained low. China imported 0.4Mt of primary aluminium in Jan-May 2023, averting a decline in inventories to unsustainably low levels • Price rebound from H2 2022, although still lower than last year as global macro uncertainty dampens sentiment China demand growth positive despite downturn in construction, driven by electric vehicles and renewable sectors. Demand in US and EU was resilient in Q1 but has softened thereafter Mine supply disruptions in Q1 limited material availability; Chile's production YTD remains weak, partially offset by higher production from Peru Inventories have fallen sharply after China's seasonal build-up in Q1 (down 50% YoY in June) CP Slag ($/t) ----HY average TiO2 feedstock prices relatively stable through H1 despite deteriorating market conditions further downstream Demand for TiO2 products has continued to be impacted by weakening macro environment over the first half with construction indicators down across major TiO2 consuming regions Sales volume declines for pigment producers and paint manufacturers in North America and Europe reported in Q1 Rio Tinto ©2023, Rio Tinto, All Rights Reserved 1Average LME price. MWP = US Midwest premium | 2Average LME price | YoY = change in average price during first half compared to previous year Sources: Rio Tinto Market Analysis, CME, LME, Mysteel, S&P Global, TZMI 30
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