Investor Presentaiton
Macroeconomic update -
CEE & AT recovery continues in 2022, rate hikes in CZ, HU & RO
•
CEE & AT economies have shown remarkable
resilience and adaptability through Covid-19
•
•
•
AT: recovery to reaccelerate after relatively weak winter
tourism season
CZ & SK: sound domestic and foreign demand but supply
chain disruptions still have an impact on industrial output
RO: slower dynamics in Q4 2021; economic growth to be
supported by EU-funded investments in 2022
Real GDP expectations for 2022 (in %)
5.4
4.3
4.5
4.6
3.0
3.2
3.2
•
•
HU: very strong performance supported by relaxed fiscal
policy, boosted investments, services and construction
HR: EU-funds related investments and further normalisation
of tourism to support economic performance
SK
RO
CZ AT
RS
HR
HU
•
•
Multiannual Financial Framework and EU Next Generation
funds to support recovery and growth
Interest rate tightening cycle under way in CEE -
faster and more sizeable than expected
•
Strong economic recovery and elevated inflation led to
higher rate expectations
CEE economies proved their resilience and experienced
quick recovery
Key interest rates (in %)
(as of 22 February)
4.50
3.40
2.50
•
Inflation has risen due to mismatch between supply and
demand following re-opening of economies; expected to
moderate in the second half of 2022
1.00
0.00
0.05
•
Further rate hikes expected in HU, RO
ECB
HR
RS
RO
•
RS also expected to start hiking interest rates
H
=
30
HU
CZ
ERSTES
Group
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