Thailand Focus 2022
Thailand | Market Update
Thailand Energy Overview
Natural Gas Supply
FY 2020 FY 2021 5M 2022
FY 2020 FY 2021 5M 2022
MMSCFD
Domestic
Myanmar LNG 4,378
Domestic
Myanmar LNG 4,726
Domestic
Myanmar LNG
4,699
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
Natural Gas Consumption
MMSCFD
Electricity
Industry GSP NGV
4,339
Electricity
Industry GSP NGV 4,395
Electricity
Industry GSP NGV 4,368
0
1,000
2,000
3,000 4,000 5,000
Source: Energy Policy and Planning Office (EPPO)
FY2020
FY2021
5M 2022
o Increase in energy demand & become closer to
demand before COVID-19 pandemic, along with
high level of energy prices
o As of May 2022, compared with the same period
of last year: significantly declined in domestic
supply, while gas from Myanmar and LNG imports
remained constant.
Electricity Generation
55%
39
38
37
36
35
34
33
32
31.3
31
30.0
30
GWH
29
20
3% 16% 15% 11% 33,123
54%
2% 17%
16% 11%
209,717
55%
2% 18%
14%
10% 206,034
Natural Gas
Imported
| Hydro Electricity
Renewable Energy
Coal & Lignite
22
27
32.1
Exchange Rate Movement
(USD/THB)
Q1
Q2
Q3
2021
33.9
PTTEP
37.5
36.5
(High)
35.5
35.3
35.0
(Average)
34.0
33.3
33.5
(Low)
33.4
74
Q4
Q1
22
Q2
Q3
Q4
2022
Consensus on the exchange rate mostly depends on
o General investor risk-off sentiment from persistent inflation and supply chain
disruptions
。 Bank of Thailand and Federal Reserve monetary policy tightening schedule
o Thailand tourism recovery as lockdown measures ease and countries reopen
Source: Bank of Thailand, Bloomberg
Forecast based on Bloomberg Consensus as of 14 July 2022View entire presentation