Investor Presentaiton
-4%
Jan-11
45%
Weakening against US$
40%
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
11% 11%
10%
5%
1%
0%
Armenia
Russia
Euro
Georiga
Moldova
Source: Bloomberg
Note: 9 November 2014 - 9 November 2015
16%
14%
Annual inflation
12%
10%
سمك
8%
6%
4%
2%
0%
-2%
May-11
Sep-11
Jan-12
May-12
Sep-12
Jan-13
May-13
Sep-13
Jan-14
May-14
Core (non-food, non-energy)
Headline Inflation
Source: GeoStat, NBG
Holding company of BANK OF GEORGIA
BGEO www.bgeo.com
GROUP
November 2015
Turkey
Azerbaijan
Ukraine
Belarus
Kazakhstan
Global, regional and local factors fully affected lari in 9M15
Stronger dollar, regional economic problems and
domestic expectations fed into GEL moves...
...and Georgia used less reserves to
support GEL compared to peers
GEL remained competitive....
0%
Inflation remained low in Georgia, compared to
trading partners...
...helped by lower world commodity
prices...
Sep-14
Jan-15
May-15
Sep-15
Georgia
Turkey
60%
41%
Reserve loss, %
50%
33%
55.6%
115
REER, Jan 2013-100
NEER, Jan 2013-100
110
31%
40%
34.0% 34.6%
25%
23%
105
21%
22%
27.3%
30%
20.8% 21.3%
100
20%
9.0% 9.6%
10%
55
95
Lari' real depreciation
Jan-11
Apr-11
Jul-11
Nov-11
Feb-12
May-12
Sep-12
Dec-12
Mar-13
Jul-13
Ukraine
Russia
Belarus
Moldova
Armenia
Source: IMF
Note: Sep-2014 to Sep-2015; Armenia's reserves exclude a US$ 500mn Eurobond
issued in March 2015
Source: NBG
Azerbaijan
225
World commodity prices
30%
200
■ End-2014
25%
175
Annual inflation
8.0%
20%
150
15%
125
5.8%
10%
100
5%
75
0%
Source: IMF
Total
Non-energy
Energy
Note: Commodity price indices, 2005=100
Oct-13
Jan-14
May-14
Aug-14
Nov-14
Mar-15
Jun-15
Oct-15
90
90
Jan-13
Apr-13
Jul-13
Oct-13
Jan-14
Apr-14
Jul-14
...and elevated commodity prices in peers
■Latest-2015
46%
Armenia
Azerbaijan
Georgia
Turkey
Kazakhstan
Belarus
Moldova
Russia
Ukraine
Source: National statistics offices
Note: Latest Oct 2015, as of September for Azerbaijan, Moldova,
& Belarus
page 65
Oct-14
Jan-15
Apr-15
Jul-15
Oct-15View entire presentation