Real Estate Investment Strategies
Consumer credit availability remains constrained
130
Many geographies have meaningfully deleveraged
ITA
SWE
Sizeable application for near-prime financing
30%
Near Prime Consumer
27%
25%
20%
15%
12%
20%
19%
18% 17%
15%
13%
13%
10%
9%
10%
7%
7%
5% 5%
5%
2%
0%
Percent of population
300-499 500-549 550-599 600-649 650-699 700-749 750-799 800-850
FICO scores
Pre-2009 Apr '16
Surveys suggest consumers still find credit difficult to access
35
30
15
10
4252525250
Percent
2003-04
2004-05
2005-06
2006-07
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
Household Debt to Net Disposable
8 8 8 ទ៩៩៦ ៨៩ ៩៩
Income (OECD, Indexed to 2005)
100
115
110
105
125
120
2011-12
2012-13
2013-14
I Just about getting by Finding it quite difficult Finding it very difficult
AUS
IRL
GBR
ESP
USA
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Bank credit to non-financial sector, % of GDP
2010
2011 2012 2013 2014
2015 Q2 '16 Change
Ireland
133
115
111
104
82
54
52 -61%
Portugal
151
152
149
140
127
118
115 -24%
Spain
165
159
148
135
124
114 115
-30%
United Kingdom 107
101
98
==
00
00
94
90
90
91
-15%
As of 30 June 2016. SOURCE: DTZ Research (top left), OECD (top right), University of Birmingham Financial Inclusion Report 2015 (bottom left), BIS (bottom right).
Refer to Appendix for additional outlook information.
PIMCO
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