Insurgency Success Factors and Rebel Legitimacy slide image

Insurgency Success Factors and Rebel Legitimacy

Access to negotiations between Chechen rebels and the Russians state is another factor that influenced rebel legitimacy. Negotiations between the Chechen insurgency and the Russian state were common in the early years of the insurgency. From 1991-1998, Chechnya and Russia maintained regular communication and actively facilitated negotiations, and honored negotiated arrangements 114 The earliest negotiations between the Russian state and Chechen de facto government were initiated in 1991 and targeted Russian-Chechen control of Chechen oil refineries 115. The bulk of Russian oil production in the North and South Caucasus was refined and distributed through facilities outside of Grozny. The oil refineries also served as the base of independent Chechen economic productivity 116. As a new state facing severe economic challenges and high rates of unemployment, Chechnya recognized the need to maintain control of oil refinery production. It also recognized the need to secure buyers for oil production. Negotiations with Russia facilitated both needs 117. A determination was made that Russia would pay Chechnya to use the oil refineries, allowing Chechnya to reap the economic benefits of oil production, while Russia continued to profit off of selling oil externally and using the oil internally118 Russia's willingness to negotiate with the de facto government to reap the economic benefits held substantial implications for state perceptions of the rebel movement's legitimacy. Instead of ceasing economic activity with the de facto government, Yeltsin's administration maintained open communication, and negotiations with the de facto government regarding Chechen oil industry 119. In allowing Chechnya the power of negotiation, Russia relinquished some of its own legitimacy and power over the Chechen economy. Several outputs were produced through this relationship that contributed to rebel success. First, Russian negotiations helped rebels secure control over Chechnya's economic productivity, 32
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