Avalara Q2 2022 Financial Analysis
We Believe Avalara Is Misrepresenting the Strength of Customer Demand
What Avalara Said Three Months Ago
Strong core customer growth
What Avalara Is Claiming Now
Avalara requires a go-to-market transformation that we believe will
increase volatility and weigh on growth
Avalara
8,000
7,000
Core Customers by Segment
7,194
6,000
5,000
4,744
4.474
4.000
3,000
2,000
1,000
477
Core Customer TTM Revenue
1022 ($millions)
Average TTM Revenue
per Core Customer
$80
$8
Other
$71
ESB
Thousands
$70
$60
$172
UMM-
Enterprise
$50
$40
2,272
$178
SMB-M
$30
$24
$20
$17
$15
$170
SMB-S
$10
0
Other
ESB
SMB-S SMB-M UMM-
Enterprise
1019 1020 #1021 ■1022
ESB Other SMB-M SMB-S UMM+ Enterprise
$40
$76
$-
Other
ESB
SMB-S SMB-M UMM+
Enterprise
1019 #1020 #1021 #1022
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Rebuilding U.S. GTM operations required to efficiently support growth and execute multi-product, multi-segment, and multi-geo strategy
Current GTM operations
requires a rebuild to
support demand
generation growth
Execution challenges and
high attrition have left a divot
in 2022 new and
upsell bookings
Tax-related searches and AVLR website
organic clicks down 20% y/y
10% decline in won deals in 1H22
2H22 plan would need 33% y/y increase
in leads after a 9% decline in 1H22
Transformation will take
time and require
leadership and team
changes
"[W]e have had meaningful growth seen across our core customers across
all size segments and have grown our total core customer count by 22% in
each of 2021 and Q1 of 2022... [O]ur average trailing 12-month revenue per
core customer has increased meaningfully by segment."1
"Current [go-to-market] operations requires a rebuild to support demand
generation growth."2
Avalara is now claiming that it requires a dramatic "go-to-market transformation to reaccelerate anemic demand" when just three
months ago it was touting strong customer growth
5
1 Source: Avalara Analyst Day, June 28, 2022.
2 Source: Avalara Investor Presentation, filed with the SEC on September 23, 2022.
Altair US, LLCView entire presentation