Vaca Muerta Strategic Investment
Entry to Argentina at an Inflection Point
Argentina's market friendly reforms and initiatives are encouraging
Economic
Structural reforms and initiatives since December 2015...
Removed capital controls and repatriation restrictions
Resolved defaulted debt and regained access to financial markets
Reduced export taxes and removed import restrictions
Floated FX and recovered monetary reserves
Improving Country Risk
10-year Benchmark G/Spread Evolution - (bps)
200 bps reduction
530
Institutional
Instituted inflation targeting policy to reach single-digit CPI by 2020
Established four-year plan to eliminate primary fiscal deficit
The economic emergency law was not renewed and ceased to be in
force as of January 6, 2018.
have already resulted in improvements...
With Capital Markets Activity on the Rise
Debt & equity issuances - ($ Bn)
Macri assumes
Office 12/10/15
Rising & Steady Growth Expectations
Forecasted GDP (% change y-o-y)
Investment led cycle - including US$60 Bn of
expected FDI inflows over the next 5 years
3.1%.3% 3.1% 3.1%
$34.8
3.6% 3.8%
$26.8
3.2%
2.4%
2.6%
2.0%
1.4%
1.5%
0.8%
Apr-16
Restructure of
Argentinean
international debt
Sep-16
330
$1.2 $1.7
$3.2
$4.2
$0.3
$1.8
(2.0%)
Mar-17
Aug-17
Jan-18
2014
2015
2016
■Debt Equity
2017
2015
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
■Potential GDP ■GDP Growth
2021
"
and forward outlook is encouraging
Outlook for reforms has improved with strong popular support after mid-term elections. Recently, (i) tax reform passed, lowering tax burden and
encouraging investment, (ii) integral reform of the capital markets underway and (iii) labor reform to be pushed later in 2018
Government pursuing agreements between unions and private sector to increase productivity in specific sectors, including oil and gas
Diverse and attractive investment opportunities of more than $250bn in multiple sectors like infrastructure, energy, mining and agribusiness
Foreign Direct Investment ("FDI") picking up, signaling favorable time to invest
Source: Bloomberg, Wall Street Research.
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