Investor Presentation
Historical Components of U.S. South Timberland Returns
NCREIF South Historical Returns
25.0%
20.0%
15.0%
10.0%
5.0%
(5.0%)
(10.0%)
9.0%
8.0%
7.0%
6.0%
5.0%
4.0%
3.0%
2.0%
1.0%
20-Year
10-Year
■EBITDA Return
Appreciation Return
Avg. EBITDA Return
Avg. Appreciation Return
2.6%
2.5%
2.7%
0.8%
„
T
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
NCREIF South Historical EBITDA Returns vs. 10-Year Treasury
EBITDA Return
10-year UST
Avg. EBITDA Return
Avg. Spread to 10-yr UST
20-Year
2.6%
10-Year
2.5%
(0.9%)
(0.1%)
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
U.S. South timberlands have historically been bid to EBITDA cap rates in the range of 2.5% to
3.0%, which is generally in line with the average 10-year treasury yield over the last decade.
Rayonier
Source: National Council of Real Estate Investment Fiduciaries.
Investor Presentation | May 2020
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