Financial Sector Overview
Bank of Russia
RUSSIAN MACRO UPDATE
The Central Bank of the Russian Federation
MACROFINANCE
Solid fiscal and external positions
15
Figure 5: Current account surplus amounted to USD 114 bn in 2018
Figure 6: Strong fiscal position: budget consolidation and fiscal rule
I Russian Federal Budget Balance, % of GDP, Ihs
Urals, $/bbl, rhs
120
114
12
120
100
8
80
72
60
40
20
ilalı
5.4
4.1
4
100
2.7
80
0.4
-0.7
0
-0.2
-0.8
60
-1.3
-4
-8
-3.9
-6.0
-2.8
-3.9
40
0
-12
20
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Figure 7: Significant international reserves assuring financial stability
Figure 8: Sovereign debt to GDP lowest in both EM and DM spaces
Developed countries
Emerging countries
External debt, $bn
Reserves, $bn
120%
800
691.7
700
600
500
527.7
400
300
200
External debt/GDP 2018 = 28.6%
Reserves/GDP 2018 = 30.5%
Reserves cover 16 months of import
Import in 2018 = USD 344 bn
Russia
109%
98%
100%
495.2
80%
60%
51%
468.8
38%
40%
20%
14%
8%
02.13
05.13
08.13
11.13
02.14
05.14
08.14
11.14
02.15
05.15
08.15
11.15
02.16
05.16
08.16
11.16
02.17
05.17
08.17
11.17
02.18
05.18
08.18
11 18
11.18
02.19
05.19
0%
2009 2010 2011 2012
2013
2014 2015 2016 2017
2018
Source: Bank of Russia, Bloomberg, Ministry of FinanceView entire presentation