3Q 2023 Financial Performance
OPERATING ENVIRONMENT | ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
Saudi Arabia's real GDP growth is forecast at 0.8% in 2023 due to lower
oil production
■ Real GDP for Saudi Arabia is expected grow by 0.8% in
2023 following 8.7% expected growth in 2022 due to lower
oil production.
■ Interest rates arises are expected to tail off during the
remainder of 2023; average 3M SAIBOR forecast at 5.93%
in 2023 and 5.76% in 2024 compared with 3.13% in 2022.
Real GDP growth (%)
0.76%
8.74%
Brent Oil Price / Barrel (USD)
80
البنك
السعودي
الفرنسي
Banque
Saudi
Fransi
83
80
80
77
76
$
O
3.98%
4.23%
0.81%
0.16% O
2021
SAIBOR: SAR 3M (avg) (%)
5.93%
3.92%
0.76%
2021
2022
2023E
2024E
2025E
2021
2022
2023E
2024E
2025E
Inflation (%)
2.47%
5.93%
5.76%
5.15%
3.06%
3.13%
5.21%
5.04%
4.37%
2.38%
2.47%
2.47%
2.23%
2.00%
5.10%
O
2022
2023E
2024E
Current A/C Balance (%)
5.95%
13.60%
5.95%
5.40%
4.41%
2025E
2021
2022
2023E
2024E
2025E
2021
2022
2023E
2024E
2025E
-O-SOFR/LIBOR: USD 3M (avg)
SAIBOR: SAR 3M (avg)
Sources: SAIBOR historical rates - SAMA | SAIBOR/SOFR forecasts - BSF Treasury | Oil price historical prices - EIA | GDP, oil price, inflation & current A/C balance - IMF
19
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