Investor Presentaiton
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
-10%
Jan-14
Apr-14
Aug-14
FX RESERVES
FLOATING EXCHANGE RATE - POLICY PRIORITY
Source: NBG
5.0
1.55 1.8
1.42
1.30
1.36
1.31
1.6
4.0
1.25
1.23 1.24
1.27
1.16
1.29
1.4
1.03
4.3
3.9
1.2
3.0
3.5
3.3
1.0
2.0
2.8 2.9 2.8 2.7
3.0
2.8
0.8
2.5
2.3
0.6
1.0
0.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
I Official FX reserves, US$ bn
M2 multiplier
M2 AND ANNUAL INFLATION
Dec-14
Apr-15
Aug-15
Nov-15
Mar-16
Jul-16
Nov-16
Mar-17
Jun-17
Oct-17
Feb-18
Jun-18
Oct-18
M2, % change, y/y (LHS)
Jan-19
May-19
Sep-19
Jan-20
Annual inflation, eop (RHS)
Source: NBG
20%
40%
15%
30%
10%
20%
5%
10%
0%
0%
-5%
-10%
May-20
Sep-20
Dec-20
Apr-21
Aug-21
Dec-21
Jan-14
Apr-14
Aug-14
Dec-14
Apr-15
Aug-15
Nov-15
Mar-16
Jul-16
Jan-14
Apr-14
Aug-14
៩ 8 ៖ ៩ ៩ ៩ ៩
100
120
130
Nov-14
Mar-15
Jun-15
Oct-15
Jan-16
M2 AND USD/GEL
M2, % change, y/y (LHS)
NOMINAL AND REAL EFFECTIVE EXCHANGE RATE
(JAN2014=100)
May-16
Aug-16
Real effective exchange rate
GEL
depreciation
Dec-16
Apr-17
Jul-17
Nov-17
GEL appreciation
Jun-18
Oct-18
Jan-19
May-19
Sep-19
Jan-20
May-20
Sep-20
Dec-20
Apr-21
Aug-21
GEL/USD, % change, y/y (RHS)
Dec-21
Feb-18
Jun-18
Sep-18
Jan-19
Apr-19
Aug-19
Dec-19
Source: NBG
130
120
+17.9% y/y
110
+20.4% y/y
70
Nominal effective exchange rate
Mar-20
Jul-20
Oct-20
Feb-21
May-21
Sep-21
Dec-21
Source: NBG
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
-10%
08
06
100
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