Q1 2023 Financial Results
Canada: Consumer and Business Activity
GDP Trending Upward Despite Stalling in 2023
Business Confidence - CFIB Business Barometer
110
Index, 2019Q4 = 100
105
Jan 13, 2020 forecast
100
95
90
90
85
80
S19Q4
2001
2002
tia 2003
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
2004
21Q1
21Q2
21Q3
21Q4
ti 22Q1
22Q2
22Q3
80
70
60
60
Feb 06, 2023 forecast
50
00
22Q4
23Q1
23Q2
23Q3
23Q4
24Q1
24Q2
24Q3
24Q4
Key Economic Indicators
index, Feb 2020 levels 100
Feb-20
Apr-20
Jun-20
Aug-20
Oct-20
Dec-20
Feb-21
Apr-21
Jun-21
Aug-21
Oct-21
Dec-21
Auto Sales
Mfg Shipments
Exports
Sources: Scotiabank Economics, Bloomberg.
Housing Starts
Retail Sales
Feb-22
Apr-22
Jun-22
Aug-22
Oct-22
Dec-22
Employment
40
30
20
20
index, > 50 = stronger
3-month moving
average
6-month moving average
Avg. 2011-present
11
12
13
14 15
Sources: Scotiabank Economics, CFIB.
16
17
18
19
20
20
110
Feb. 2020=100
105
100
95
90
85
80
Manufacturing PMI
Labour Market Recovery
Canada Jobs
Feb-20
Apr-20
Jun-20
Aug-20
Oct-20
Sources: Scotiabank Economics, Statistics Canada.
Dec-20
SFeb-21
Apr-21
Jun-21
Aug-21
Headline index
21
22
23
+150K Jobs in Jan. 2023
Oct-21
Dec-21
Feb-22
Apr-22
Jun-22
Aug-22
Oct-22
Dec-22
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