Arla Foods Annual Report 2020 slide image

Arla Foods Annual Report 2020

RESPONSE TREND Management Review Our Strategy Our Brands and Commercial Segments Our Responsibility Our Governance Our Performance Review Our Consolidated Financial Statements Our Consolidated Environmental, Social and Governance Data EMBRACING CHANGE: MAJOR TRENDS AND STRATEGIC RESPONSES COVID-19 UNCERTAINTY IN GLOBAL ECONOMIES AND LOURING RECESSION The pandemic has different impacts across markets, resulting in recession to a varying degree. IMF estimated growth in world GDP of -3.5 per cent in 2020, where especially the Euro zone posted high negative growth of -7.2 per cent and Emerging Markets and Developing Countries -2.4 per cent 1. Most markets are expected to have recovered by 2022, but there is high uncertainty on the level of economic activity into 2021 and beyond 2. CHANGED CUSTOMER AND CONSUMER BEHAVIOUR In 2020, consumer food shopping behaviour changed rapidly due to the disruption of Covid-19, impacting both retail and the foodservice business. Increased in-home consumption and an accelerated shift towards e-commerce were the consequences of several lockdown periods. 2021 is starting with continued lockdowns and high infection numbers across the world, and these trends are likely to continue far into the year. However, out-of-home eating is expected to rise again as the pandemic is slowly overcome, and we enter into a 'new normal'. POLITICAL UNCERTAINTY As a consequence of Covid-19, some countries may impose certain trade restrictions as focus on supporting domestic businesses is likely to be increasing. Despite the post-Brexit Free Trade Agreement between the UK and the EU, friction costs and potential delays at borders will affect trade with the UK. Ongoing trade wars between China and the USA and conflicts in the Middle East will also continuously cause uncertainty in the global markets into 2021, while a new presidency in the US may open up for new opportunities. Given our strong product portfolio and broad international footprint, Arla is prepared to face the louring recession in close collaboration with our customers. This was demonstrated in 2020, when we managed to shift product volumes from our foodservice business into retail to meet the unprece- dented high demand and quickly adapt to the new market conditions. This agility and resilience of our business is our strength in uncertain times. During 2020, our strong commercial execution and empowered front line proved that we were able to adapt fast to new customer and consumer demand and growing our e-commerce business. We kept a steady supply of products during lockdowns, and we managed to accelerate digital marketing and e-commerce at an overproportionate speed meeting our customers where they were. In 2020, Arla engaged with consumers more than 600 million times through our digital platforms. Given our broad global market footprint and a proven resilient and agile business model, Arla is in a strengthened position to address the impacts of political uncertainty across our markets. We strongly believe in and advocate for free trade, however, we have prepared our business for different outcomes of the Brexit negotiations since the Brexit vote in 2016 (read more on p. 20). 18 ARLA FOODS ANNUAL REPORT 2020 008 006 1) Source: IMF Outlook Report (June 2020) 2) World Economic Outlook, October 2020
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