Emirates NBD Investor Presentation

Dubai Economic Update ■ Highlights 2011 GDP growth for Dubai is estimated at 3.5% vs. 2.8% in 2010 Lowered GDP growth forecast for Dubai in 2012 to 2.5% in the context of global developments ☐ ■ UAE is a global and regional trade hub, and non-oil trade is a key contributor to growth; transport, storage & communication, accounted for almost 9% of the UAE's GDP in 2010 Slower economic growth in China and India are a bigger concern than recession in Europe, as these two Asian countries alone account for almost 20% of the total volume of UAE's non-oil trade y-o-y Growth % 4 3.3 3 2 + Dubai: GDP growth set to decelerate 3.5 2.8 2.5 -2 -3 -2.5 2008 2009 Source: Dubai Statistics Centre, Emirates NBD Research 2010 2011f 2012f Contribution by sector to GDP growth Dubai GDP by Sector - 2010 (%) 100% = AED 293.6 billion 4.0% 3.2% 3.0% 2.2% 2.0% 1.1% Others 0.8% 8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% Financial Trade & Services 0.0% 11% Repairing -0.1% Services -1.0% -0.3% 1.7% 1.3% 1.2% 0.9% 0.7% 1.2% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% -0.1% -0.4% 30% Manufact -2.0% uring -1.7% -1.6% 13% -3.0% Transport Real & -4.0% Estate Comms 2008 14% Construct 14% ion 10% -2.4% -2.7% -3.5% 2009 Trade & Repairing Services Transport & Comms Manufacturing Financial Services ■Government Services ■Others 2010 Real Estate ■Construction Total Source: Dubai Statistics Centre, NBS Emirates NBD 2.4% 6

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