Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co Investment Banking
IRR Price Sensitivities
Oil Price Sensitivity (1)
$60 / bbl
$55 / bbl
$50 / bbl
$45 / bbl
$40 / bbl
TPH SW Southern Rich Wet Gas
23%
17%
21%
24%
19%
29%
30%
30%
37%
36%
29%
43%
46%
39%
42%
51%
59%
TPH SW Southern Gas Condensate
78%
102%
Indicates IRR price sensitivities
at AR Downside Pricing Case
Source: Antero assumptions based on Antero publicly disclosed information.
Note: TPH IB assumes 40% ethane recovery; Antero assumes ethane rejection.
Holds Gas price flat at $2.80 / MMBtu.
(2) Holds Oil price flat at $50 / bbl.
(3)
"AR Downside Pricing Case" applies $2.50 natural gas / $50 oil pricing to "AR Base Volumes Case" production.
Gas Price Sensitivity(2)
AR Highly Rich Gas AR Highly Rich Gas Condensate
$2.90 / mmbtu
$2.75 / mmbtu
$2.70 / mmbtu
$2.50 / mmbtu
$2.30 / mmbtu
16%
21%
22%
17%
26%
28%
29%
27%
33%
33%
27%
32%
38%
37%
CONFIDENTIAL DRAFT
SUBJECT TO CHANGE
37%
45%
56%
54%
63%
TUDORPICKERING
HOLT&COI:
ENERGY INVESTMENTS
MERCHANT BANKING
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