2022 Annual Review & Inflation Shock Impact
Inflation Shock
Alberta Inflation Shock Impact
Inflation Shock by Coverage (Year over year increase by quarter)
7.0%
6.0%
5.0%
4.0%
3.0%
2.0%
1.0%
0.0%
Auto Physical Damage
Auto Bodily Injury
Auto Accident Benefit
Personal Property
Using the data and expert opinion, we
estimated the degree to which the inflation
shock will impact each coverage. We expect
the inflation shock to be greatest for
PD/Property and lowest for BI/AB. By
overlaying the expected change in CPI over
time (slide 3), we estimated the impact of
the inflation shock in the future for each
coverage.
2022Q1
2022Q2
2022Q3
2022Q4
2023Q1
2023Q2
2023Q3
2023Q4
2024Q1
Line of Business
Personal Auto
2024Q2
2024Q3
2024Q4
2025Q1
2025Q2
2025Q3
202SQ4
Bodily Injury
Accident Benefit
Personal Property
6.3%
Assumptions as of May 30, 2022.
Impact on the Loss Cost at 202304
Physical Damage
Impact of Inflation Shock on Loss Cost
7.4%
7.7%
7.4%
4.5%
AVIVA
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