Baird Investment Banking Pitch Book
RELATIVE TRADING ANALYSIS
Antero Midstream
Partners LP (AM)
Antero Midstream
GP LP (AMGP)
AMC Pro Forma
@ Current Proposal
@ Illustrative Counter
(2)
Price
$29.73
18.61
$18.61
18.61
Value of AR's Midstream Holdings
Current
Yield
5.2%
2.3%
ΝΑ
NA
2019E
Yield
7.4%
4.8%
6.9%
7.0%
(3)
Status Quo
$2,939
2019-22 Est.
Distribution
Growth CAGR
22.9%
35.8%
27.0%
25.5%
Equity Value /
Cash Flow (1)
2018E
(3) Current holdings * AM unit price.
(4)
Proforma ownership, assuming no change to AMGP pro forma share price plus cash received in transaction ($750 mm * 53%)
14.4x
23.6x
Current Proposal
@1.6x Exchange
Ratio
$2,944
NA
Treliminary Draft
NA
2019E
10.8x
14.6x
11.0x
11.4x
Source: Antero management projections.
(1) Cash flow represents distributable cash flow attributable to LP unitholders / shareholders at full payout. Cash flow to AMGP is net of Series B profit interest and taxes.
(2) Represents 1.7x equity exchange ratio, $750 mm in cash, 10 mm shares issued to Series B holders and no distribution cut to AM unitholders in 2019.
Illustrative Counter
Pro Forma +
Cash Rovd.
Net Debt /
2019E EBITDA
BAIRD
$3,524
1.3x
NM
1.3x
1.3x
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