Investor Presentaiton
4
6.0
Sep-19
Oct-19
Source: PSA
Nov-19
Dec-19
Jan-20
Feb-20
PH: Inflation within BSP target, interest rates decline
Mar-20
Apr-20
May-20
Jun-20
PHP yield curve
Interest rates remain low across the yield curve
YTD 2020 (%)
Jul-20
September inflation remains benign at 2.3%
Higher transport cost pushed the consumer price index higher
Inflation and BSP Policy Rate (%)
PHL Inflation YoY and Contribution
8.00
3.5
2.9
Breakdown (%)
7.00
6.7
3.0
2.7
2.6
2.5
2.5
2.5
Restaurants
2.4 2.3
6.00
2.5
Educ
2.1
5.00
Recreation
2.0
4.75
4.50
4.00
Comm.
4.00
1.5
Transport
2.75
2.9
3.00
0.8
1.0
Health
3.00
2.00
1.3
0.5
0.0
0.7
0.8
1.0
1.1
Furnishing
1.0
0.8
0.9
0.7
0.6
HW, Electricity, Gas, Other Fuels
1.00
-0.5
-0.4 0.3 0.0
2.25
2.1
0.8
Cloth
0.00
Alco Bev & Tob
Food & Non-Alco Bev
-1.0
Jan-16
Mar-16
May-16
Jul-16
Sep-16
Nov-16
Jan-17
Mar-17 1
May-17
Jul-17
Sep-17
Nov-17
Jan-18
Mar-18
May-18
Jul-18
Sep-18
Nov-18
Jan-191
Mar-19
May-19
Jul-19
Sep-19
Nov-19
Jan-20
Mar-20
May-20
Jul-20
Sep-20
Inflation
Aug-20
Sep-20
Source: CEIC
5.159
5.218 12/31/2019
2.8119
2.7078
5.0
2.5500
4.461
2.50
2.3261
2.3474
2.4040
2.4217
4.061
4.279
4.0
3.830
3.738
3.940
3.894
3.876 09/30/2020
2.0745
1.9440
3.114 3.204
3.373 3.415
2.00
2.4004
2.7748 12/31/2019
2.4217 09/30/2020
10/06/2020
2.3987
2.3984
1.6146
2.980
3.0
2.733
2.894
3.876
3.853 10/06/2020
2.370
2.573
1.50
1.2570
2.118
1.1963
2.0
1.589
1.845
1.169
2.284
2.479
2.632
2.776 2.811
1.6029
1.00
2.052
0.6870
1.2310
1.048
1.814
0.5630
1.1703
10
1.583
1.165
0.50
0.6848
0.982
0.5197
0.0
0.00
1M
3M
БМ
1Y
2Y
BY
NP
4Y
SY
10Y
20Y
25Y
ROP 24
ROP 26
ROP 28
ROP 29
ROP 30
ROP 40
ROP 41
ROP 42
Source: https://www.pds.com.ph/index.html
Source: Global Markets Sales
ROP Yield Curve
ROP yields lower YTD, reflecting the decline in global rates
YTD 2020 (%)
THIS DOCUMENT IS THE PROPERTY OF BANK OF THE PHILIPPINE ISLANDS. STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL.
Inflation Target
-Inflation
-BSP Policy Rate
BPIView entire presentation