3Q 2022 Results
FY 2022 MODELING CONSIDERATIONS & LATEST UPDATES [POSITIVE/NEGATIVE]
Cash Flow Considerations in 2022
Dividends from
Operating EBIT Drivers vs. FY21
~$900MM (up ~$600MM YoY)
Equity Companies
Equity Earnings
Down $600-700MM YOY (net of T/As)
Pension
~$250MM (~$1B lower YoY)
Pension Expense
~$FLAT YOY
Corporate
Turnaround Costs
Op. EBIT of ~$(275)MM and Op. EBITDA of ~$(250)MM
~+$100MM YoY incl. JVs
Liability
Management
Executed $750MM make whole call in 2Q22
CapEx
~$1.9B
Other Income Statement Considerations
2020 Restructuring
Program
~$175MM cash outflow (~$75MM lower YoY)
Digital Initiative
~$250MM cash outflow (~$100MM higher YoY)
Net Interest Expense
~$525MM
D&A
~$2.8B
Net Income Attrib.
~$100MM (reduction to reported Net Income)
to Non-Controlling Int.
Favorable
Year-End Share Count
~710MM
Op. Tax Rate
21%-25%
DOW
What We are
Watching
Year-Over-Year Market Drivers
Elevated oil price and oil-gas spreads, cost
interventions, and infrastructure spending
Inflationary pressures on raw materials and energy,
supply chain constraints, foreign exchange impact,
consumer confidence, COVID lockdowns, geopolitical
dynamics
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