Methanex Project Overview
Geismar 3 has distinct project advantages and robust project
economics
1. Project returns - significant capital and operating cost advantages enhance project returns
2.
Based on remaining capital costs¹
Estimate IRR of 20-28% for methanol prices between $350 and $400/tonne, gas price of $2.90/mmbtu and freight to Asia
We return our cost of capital at methanol prices of ~$250/tonne
Significant capital cost advantages - use of excess hydrogen from Geismar 1 and Geismar 2 eliminates the need for a primary reformer
3. Meaningful brownfield advantages - shared infrastructure with Geismar 1 and 2 creates capital and operating cost advantages
Well-situated - with access to long-term cost advantaged 3rd party supply for oxygen, utilities and terminal capacity
4.
5.
Low cost-operating cost advantages make Geismar 3 one of the lowest cost plants in our portfolio
6. Significant cash generation capability - expect incremental free cash flow of ~$125-$250M per year (methanol price of $300-400/tonne)
7.
Natural gas supply - underpinned by abundant and low-cost US natural gas resources
8.
Very low CO2 emissions intensity - estimated to be among the lowest CO2 emissions intensity methanol plants in the world²
Lower country risk - lower construction and operational risk for manufacturing assets in the US compared to other regions
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9.
10. Project de-risked - activities completed during care and maintenance period significantly reduce the project execution risk profile
11. Labour availability - Geismar 3 project is well-positioned in the construction market ahead of other non-methanol major projects in the US Gulf Coast
12. Supply chain flexibility - global supply chain capabilities create low cost flexibility to respond to tariffs
1 Based on remaining Geismar 3 capital costs (~$800-900M), after resuming construction, and excludes costs of approximately $455M committed as of the end of Q3 2021 through
the care and maintenance period
2 Estimate that Geismar 3's CO2 emissions intensity (Scope 1 and Scope 2) to be less than 0.4/tonne vs existing Mx portfolio of ~0.6/tonne and vs coal-based methanol plants
(5-7x higher than natural gas-based plants)
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