Spyglass Portfolio -- Megatrends
10
Portfolio Characteristics
As of September 30, 2023
Profitable Companies (Positive 2023 EBITDA)
Most Recently Reported Qtr
Y/Y Sales
Y/Y Earnings
Sales surprise
Ticker Wgt Company Name
Growth
Growth
vs consensus
EPS surprise
vs consensus
Spyglass Estimated
Earnings Growth
2023
Spyglass Estimated
Earnings Multiple
Spyglass Est.
2023-2025
2024
2023
2024
Ann. Growth Rate
NTNX 5.3%
Nutanix Inc
28%
100%
4%
53%
100%
65%
35x
21x
17%
SPLK
3.4%
Splunk Inc
14%
100%
3%
100%
22%
26%
39x
31x
33%
APP
5.8%
AppLovin Corp
-3%
100%
4%
100%
100%
18%
15x
13x
22%
DASH
3.5%
DoorDash Inc
33%
100%
4%
57%
100%
50%
36x
24x
49%
FOUR
3.5%
Shift4 Payments Inc
26%
100%
1%
40%
100%
45%
18x
13x
39%
GLBE
3.3%
Global-e Online Ltd
53%
89%
4%
13%
65%
62%
110x
68x
62%
PANW 4.1%
Palo Alto Networks Inc
26%
81%
0%
12%
49%
29%
46x
36x
30%
DDOG 4.5%
Datadog Inc
25%
50%
2%
27%
39%
40%
67x
48x
33%
TDG
4.0%
TransDigm Group Inc
25%
49%
4%
14%
40%
22%
32x
26x
18%
WSC
4.9%
WillScot Mobile Mini Holdings Corp
11%
34%
0%
5%
48%
43%
18x
13x
38%
MEDP 3.0%
Medpace Holdings Inc
31%
32%
6%
2%
53%
19%
31x
26x
21%
MTN
2.9% Vail Resorts Inc
1%
24%
-5%
-3%
23%
15%
23x
20x
15%
LYFT
2.9%
Lyft Inc
3%
23%
0%
N/A
N/A
43%
25x
18x
47%
FIVE
3.3%
Five Below Inc
13%
14%
0%
1%
22%
20%
28x
23x
22%
APG
2.9%
API Group Corp
7%
11%
0%
3%
16%
34%
17x
13x
36%
AMG
3.7%
Affiliated Managers Group Inc
-16%
10%
-6%
5%
-6%
15%
7x
бх
15%
PSTG 5.0%
Pure Storage Inc
6%
6%
1%
24%
2%
14%
25x
22x
16%
GDDY 4.2%
GoDaddy Inc
3%
5%
-1%
-8%
2%
27%
12x
9x
23%
15%
57%
1%
26%
46%
33%
32x
23x
29%
Unprofitable Self-Funding Companies
Ticker Wgt Company Name
Most Recently Reported Qtr
Spyglass Estimated
Spyglass Estimated
Spyglass Est.
Y/Y Sales
Y/Y EPS
Sales surprise
EPS surprise
Earnings Growth
Earnings Multiple
Growth
Growth
vs consensus
vs consensus
2023
2024
2023
2024
2023-25
Ann. Growth Rate
EXAS
2.7%
2.9%
ASND 4.5% Ascendis Pharma A/S
PCOR 3.9%
AFRM 4.9%
SG
100%
23%
Procore Technologies Inc
33%
5%
Affirm Holdings Inc
22%
10%
Sweetgreen Inc
22%
-2%
Exact Sciences Corp
19%
4%
SPOT 5.2%
Spotify Technology SA
11%
-1%
ROKU 4.7%
Roku Inc
11%
10%
38%
7%
Spyglass Weighted Average
20%
57%
Russell Midcap Growth Index
6%
13%
Russell 2500 Growth Index
5%
7%
S&P 500 Index
15%
6%
46%
33%
32x
23x
29%
2%
8%
27x
25x
11%
-4%
18%
23x
19x
-2%
12%
21x
19x
17%
12%
Portfolio weightings are for a Spyglass representative portfolio as of September 30, 2023. Spyglass earnings growth rates and multiples are based on a combination of consensus estimates, adjusted free
cash flow, and adjusted net income. Index Y/Y growth rates based on consensus estimates. Earnings growth is capped at 100% to best highlight portfolio averages and in instances of negative-to-
positive changes in earnings. DoorDash, GoDaddy, and AppLovin Y/Y earnings growth based on free cash flow per share in lieu of EPS. Global-e Y/Y earnings growth based on adjusted EBITDA.
The 2023-2025 Annualized Growth Rate is a Spyglass research estimate for the portfolio, and based on the Bloomberg Estimated Long-Term Growth (LTG) Earnings per Share (EPS), which is the
estimated Compounded Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of the operating EPS over a company's next full business cycle, for the Russell Midcap Growth Index, Russell 2500 Growth Index, and S&P 500 Index.
No recommendation is made, positive or otherwise, regarding individual securities mentioned. The specific securities identified and described do not represent all the securities transacted for advisory
clients, and the reader should not assume that investments in the securities identified were or will be profitable.
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