2022 Interim Results - Debt Investor Presentation
H1 2022 net impairment charge of €47m
H1 2022
.
IFRS 9 models
Bank of Ireland 2022 Interim Results - Debt Investor Presentation
Macro-economic update and management adjustment
€59m gain
Gain of €19m from improved macroeconomic outlook and model updates, partially offset
by higher weighting to downside scenarios (+10ppts) relative to December 2021
Reduction in total management adjustment by €40m including
Reduction in COVID-19 management adjustment by €70m to €62m, partially offset by
New €32m management adjustment related to the uncertain economic environment
Stock of management adjustments² assumed to be utilised or brought in model during H2 22
Loan loss experience and
portfolio activity
€106m charge
Net charge primarily reflects
Loan loss emergence on stage 3
assets and net losses related to case
specific credit events
Macroeconomic scenarios¹ updated to reflect changes in economic outlook since 31 December 2021
30 June 2022
2022
FY 22
Outlook
Ireland - Probability Weighted Scenario
GDP growth
Inflation (CPI)
Unemployment rate
Irish House Price Index
Delta vs Central Scenario
GDP growth
Inflation (CPI)
Unemployment rate
Irish House Price Index
2023
2024-2026
5.0%
3.7%
3.5%
6.7%
3.7%
1.9%
6.0%
5.9%
5.8%
4.0%
-1.9%
0.0%
-0.6%
-0.9%
-0.1%
0.5%
0.5%
-0.2%
0.2%
0.7%
0.8%
-1.0%
-3.9%
-1.3%
Subject to no material change in the economic conditions or outlook,
we expect the 2022 impairment charge to be lower than 20bps
1 See slide 52 for 2022-2026 macro-economic assumptions used in IFRS 9 models
2 Total stock of management adjustments of €352m at June 2022 comprised of: NPES €130m; Mortgage LGD €104m; COVID-19 €62m;
economic uncertainty €32m; BBROI PD €24m
Bank of Ireland
19
19View entire presentation