Investor Presentaiton
Aluminium Metal sensitivities
Annual sensitivities on adjusted EBITDA if +10% in price
NOK million
3 230
420
Revenue impact
•
Realized price lags LME spot by ~1-2 months
•
Realized premium lags market premium by ~2-3 months
Cost impact
Alumina
•
~1.9 tonnes per tonne aluminium
•
~ 2-3 months lag
(400)
(180)
•
Mainly priced on Platts index
Aluminium
Standard ingot
premium
(1020)
Realized PAX
Pet coke
Pitch
Currency sensitivities +10%
NOK million
AEBITDA
USD
BRL
EUR
2,990
(290)
(640)
Hydro
Carbon
~0.40 tonnes petroleum coke per tonne aluminium, Pace Jacobs Consultancy, 2-3 year
volume contracts, quarterly or half yearly pricing
~0.08 tonnes pitch per tonne aluminium, CRU, 2-3 year volume contracts, quarterly pricing
Power
14.0 MWh per tonne aluminium
Long-term power contracts with indexations
Annual adjusted sensitivities based on normal annual business volumes. LME 2,120 USD/mt, standard ingot premium (Europe duty paid) 190 USD/mt, PAX 355 USD/mt, fuel oil 820 USD/mt, petroleum coke 440 USD/mt, pitch 965 EUR/mt,
caustic soda 360 USD/mt, coal 105 USD/mt, gas (Henry Hub) 2.74 USD/MMBtu, USDNOK 10.91, BRLNOK 2.19, EURNOK 11.66
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