Investor Presentaiton
Previous Projection
Current Projection
Actual
INFLATION PROJECTION (CBA, Sept. 2021)
MONETARY POLICY IS COMMITTED TO PRICE STABILITY
CBA'S COMMITTED TIGHTENING OF MONETARY CONDITIONS SINCE DEC 2020 IS EFFECTIVE IN TERMS OF CONTROLLING THE OUTPACING
DEMAND AND CONTAINING THE INFLATION IN FULFILLMENT OF INFLATION TARGET IN THE MEDIUM RUN
2017/01
2018/01
2017/04
2017/03
2017/02
2018/02
2018/04
2018/03
2019/01
2019/02
2019/03
2019/04
2020/01
2020/02
2020/03
CENTRAL BANK LIQUIDTY TRANSACTIONS (BLN DRAMS)
2020/04
2021/01
2021/02
2021/03
2021/04
2022/01
2022/02
2022/03
2022/04
2023/01
2023/02
2023/03
2023/04
2024/01
2024/02
6420 4
-2
A
4.0
2.0
0.0
-2.0
INFLATION COMPONENTS
10.0
12
Non-food products\
Services
Non-seasonal food
10
8.0
Seasonal food
12-month inflation
Core inflation
8
6.0
MARKET INTEREST RATES (%)
Jan-19
Feb-19
Mar-19
Apr-19
May-19
Jun-19
Jul-19
Aug-19
Sep-19
Oct-19
Nov-19
Dec-19
Jan-20
Feb-20
Mar-20
Apr-20
May-20
Jun-20
Jul-20
Aug-20
Sep-20
Oct-20
Nov-20
Dec-20
Jan-21
Feb-21
Mar-21
Apr-21
May-21
Jun-21
Jul-21
Aug-21
Sep-21
8.50
8.00
7.50
7.00
6.50
6.00
5.50
5.00
4.50
4.00
500000
400000
300000
200000
100000
0
-100000
Jan-19
Feb-19
Mar-19
Apr-19
May-19
Jun-19
Jul-19
Aug-19
Sep-19
Oct-19
New 10
Nov-19
Dec-19
Jan-20
Jan-20
Feb-20
Feb-20
Mar-20
Apr-20
May 20
May-20
Reverse repo
Deposit auction
Structural repo (91 days)
FX provision swap
Net liquidity
oz-up
OC-M
Jul-20
FX attraction swap
Aug-20
Aug-20
Sep-20
Sep-20
Oct-20
Nov-20
Dec-20
Jan-21
Feb-21
Mar-21
Apr-21
May-21
Jun-21
Jul-21
Aug-21
Sep-21
Repo (up to 7 days)
Source: CBA
Jan-20
Feb-20
Mar-20
Apr-20
May-20
Jun-20
Jul-20
CB refin. rate
CB repo rate
Aug-20
Sep-20
Oct-20
Nov-20
Dec-20
Jan-21
Feb-21
Mar-21
Apr-21
May-21
Interbank repo rate
TB rate (3 months)
Jun-21
Jul-21
Aug-21
Sep-21
31
Deposit
Lombard repoView entire presentation