FY22 Financial Overview
CA: Consumer and Business Activity
95
90
85
80
19Q4
2001
2002
110
Index, 2019Q4 = 100
105
Jan 13, 2020 forecast
100
2003
Key Economic Indicators
index, Feb 2020 levels 100
42004
21Q1
21Q3
m. 21Q2
2104
22Q1
22Q2
22Q3
22Q4
23Q1
23Q2
23Q3
23Q4
24Q1
24Q2
24Q3
24Q4
Dec-21
Feb-22
60
Oct 17, 2022 forecast
50
GDP Getting Back on Track
៩ ៦ 8 8 ៩ ៩ ៩ ៩ ៩
100
140
180
160
Feb-20
Apr-20
Jun-20
Aug-20
Oct-20
Dec-20
Auto Sales
Mfg Shipments
Exports
Sources: Scotiabank Economics, Bloomberg.
Feb-21
Apr-21
Jun-21
Housing Starts
Retail Sales
Aug-21
Oct-21
Apr-22
Jun-22
Aug-22
Oct-22
Employment
80
Manufacturing PMI
85
30
40
80
index, > 50 = stronger
70
Business Confidence - CFIB Business Barometer
3-month moving
average
6-month moving average
Avg. 2011-
present
ཨ
20
11
12
13
14
15
Sources: Scotiabank Economics, CFIB.
16
17
18
19
20
21
2
22
22
Labour Market Recovery
Canada Fully Recovers Lost Jobs
105
Feb. 2020=100
66
%
65
100
64
95
63
62
90
Feb-20
Apr-20
Jun-20
Aug-20-
Oct-20
Dec-20
Feb-21-
Apr-21-
Jun-21-
Aug-21-
Oct-21-
Dec-21-
Feb-22-
Apr-22-
Jun-22
Aug-22-
Oct-22-
Sources: Scotiabank Economics, Statistics Canada.
59
60
Feb-20
61
Headline index
Canada's Labour Force Participation Rate
Apr-20
Jun-20
Aug-20
Oct-20
Dec-20
Feb-21
Apr-21]
Jun-21
Aug-21
Oct-21
Dec-21
Feb-22
Apr-22]
Jun-22
Aug-22
Oct-22]
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