Investor Presentaiton
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
-10%
FX RESERVES
FLOATING EXCHANGE RATE - POLICY PRIORITY
Source: NBG
5.0 1.42
1.30
1.36
1.25
1.31
1.35
1.6
130
1.23 1.24
1.27
1.16
1.29
1.4
4.0
120
1.03
1.2
3.0
3.9 3.9
110
3.5
1.0
3.3
2.8 2.9 2.8
3.0
0.8
100
2.0
2.7
2.8
2.5
2.3
0.6
90
1.0
0.4
80
0.2
0.0
0.0
70
M2 AND ANNUAL INFLATION
-M2, % change, y/y (LHS)
Official FX reserves, US$ bn
M2 multiplier
Jun-16
Oct-16
Feb-17
Sep-17
Jan-18
May-18
Dec-18
Apr-19
Nov-19
Mar-20
Annual inflation, eop (RHS)
NOMINAL AND REAL EFFECTIVE EXCHANGE RATE
(JAN2014-100)
Source: NBG
Jan-14
Apr-14
Z Jul-14
Nominal effective exchange rate
Nov-14
Feb-15
Jun-15
Sep-15
Jan-16
Apr-16
Aug-16
Nov-16
Mar-17
Jun-17
Source: NBG
M2 AND USD/GEL
40%
12%
10%
30%
8%
20%
6%
4%
10%
2%
0%
0%
-2%
-10%
Jun-21
M2, % change, y/y (LHS)
Sep-17
Jan-18
Apr-18
Aug-18
Nov-18
Mar-19
Jun-19
Oct-19
130
120
-1.2% y/y 110
100
90
+1.9% y/y 80
70
Jan-20
Apr-20
Aug-20
Nov-20
Mar-21
Jun-21
Real effective exchange rate
Ая
Apr-19
Jul-19
Nov-19
Mar-20
Jul-20
Oct-20
Feb-21
Jun-21
GEL/USD, % change, y/y (RHS)
Source: NBG
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
-10%
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