Global Wealth Management Update
Mexican Economy
•
Solid mix of sectors
Services and consumption are increasingly
contributing to the domestic economy's
recovery
Trade with the U.S. is leading growth, but
Mexico's diversification agenda is also
underpinned by 13 free-trade agreements with
50 countries that account for 43% of global
GDP and include all G7 countries
The authorities' fiscal and debt indicators
remain reasonable; efforts to boost tax
collection could continue to be implemented
GDP 2022: 3.0%
GDP 2023F: 0.8%
Sources: Scotiabank Economics, Bloomberg, as of Feb 10, 2023.
Contributions to Mexican GDP Growth
GDP 2024F: 1.9%
Other
MEXICAN GDP
16.3%
Finance, Insurance,
& Real Estate
14.3%
6.0%
Health & Education
18.8%
Wholesale &
Retail Trade
16.8%
Manufacturing
5.8%
Mining and Oil
& Gas Extraction
5.8%
Construction
3.4%
Natural
Resources
6.8%
Transportation
& Warehousing
2.1%
BY INDUSTRY*
(Q3-2022)
Professional,
Scientific,
& Technical
Services
3.8%
Public
Administration
* Q4-2022 real GDP growth 3.5 y/y. Industry GDP breakdown is not yet available for Q4-2022.
Top Trading Partners*
-20
-16
-12
≈ 1½ ½ 1 O DONN
-8
24
y/y % change
Other*
Inventories
12
Government
Real GDP
4
0
-4
18
19
Net Exports
Investment
Consumption
20
21
*Statistical discrepancy, subject to revision.
Sources: Scotiabank Economics, Haver Analytics.
222
22
* Q4-2022 real GDP growth 3.5% y/y. National accounts breakdown not yet available for Q4-2022.
Others
21%
Germany 2%
South Korea 3%
United
States
Canada 4%
59%
China
12%
* Trade data updated as of Q3-2022.
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