Why Invest in Scotiabank? slide image

Why Invest in Scotiabank?

Mexican Economy Solid mix of sectors Manufacturing and primary produces have so far led the recovery, but into H2-2021 services are expected to contribute more strongly. Trade with the U.S. is leading growth, but Mexico's diversification agenda is also underpinned by 14 free-trade agreements with 46 countries that account for 39% of global GDP and include all G7 countries Authorities' fiscal and debt indicators remain sound, and a fiscal reform is expected to be presented over the coming 12 mo. GDP Growth 2021F: 4.9% GDP Growth 2022F: 2.1% 16.6% Finance, Insurance, & Real Estate 15.4% Other 3.5% Natural Resources 5.7% Transportation & Warehousing 6.1% Health & Education MEXICAN GDP BY INDUSTRY* (Q4 2020) 1.8% Professional, Scientific, & Technical Services 4.1% Public Administration 17.9% Wholesale & Retail Trade 16.4% Manufacturing 6.4% Mining and Oil & Gas Extraction 6.0% Construction * Q1-2021 real GDP growth -3.1% y/y. Industry GDP breakdown not yet available for Q1-2021. Top 5 Trading Partners* Contributions to Mexican GDP Growth 8 6 y/y % change 4 2 0 -2 -4 -6 -8 -10 Other* -12 Investment Net Exports Government Inventories Consumption -14 Real GDP -16 -18 -20 17 18 19 20 *Statistical discrepancy, subject to revision. Sources: Scotiabank Economics, Haver Analytics. Others 20% South Korea 2% Germany 3% United States Canada 4% China 11% * Trade data updated as of Q4-2020 59% 59 59
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