Australian Housing Dynamics and Affordability slide image

Australian Housing Dynamics and Affordability

AUSTRALIAN MORTGAGE STABILITY OFFSET BALANCES AND SMALL SHADOW BANKING SECTOR HOUSEHOLD MORTAGE BUFFERS¹ NON-BANK HOUSING CREDIT AND RMBS ISSUANCE² • mths Aggregate Distribution of loans** By months of prepayments Investor and/or fixed rate loans*** % % Estimated non-bank share of outstanding housing credit* 1% 10 10 36 36 Number of months (LHS) New loans Other ம் 24 12 Share of gross housing credit (RHS) L L 2009 2014 2019 0 to 1 to 6 to 12 to 24+ <1 <6 <12 <24 Months Available redraw plus offset account balances As a share of the total number of loans as at June 2019 These loans have features that discourage prepayments Sources: APRA; RBA; Securitisation System 5 24 $b Non-bank Australian RMBS issuance** $b 20 20 12 15 15 10 10 5 сл 10 2003 2007 2011 2015 2019 As at year-end 2019 year to date Sources: APRA; RBA Aggregate buffers of 16.5% of outstanding mortgage balance or 2.5 years scheduled payments (at current interest rates) Of those with <1 month buffer, this includes • Investor mortgages who have tax incentives not to repay tax deductible debt early Fixed rate mortgages Sources: 1. RBA. Financial Stability Review, October 2019 2. RBA. Financial Stability Review, April 2019 ANZ 125
View entire presentation