Man-made Disaster and Global Nuclear Energy Development
Estimates of Nuclear Electrical Generating Capacity:
Comparison of estimates in 2013 and 2011
Estimates for 2030
Estimates for 2050
Estimated
Actual
in 2011
Estimated
in 2011
in 2013
in 2011
in 2013
World Total
-13%
-21%
Nucl. Capacity (GWe)
Low Estimate
501
435
560
440
368.8
High Estimate
746
722
1228
1113
-3%
-9%
Share (%)
Low Estimate
5.2
4.5
2.7
2.2
7.1
High Estimate
6.2
6.2
6.0
5.6
Far East
-18%
-14%
Nucl. Capacity (GWe)
Low Estimate
High Estimate
180
147
220
189
79.8
255
268
450
412
+5%
-8%
Share (%)
Low Estimate
High Estimate
6.4
5.3
4.2
3.7
5.0
7.5
8.1
8.6
8.0
Source: International Atomic Energy Agency, "Energy, Electricity and Nuclear Power Estimates for the Period up to 2050,"
2011 Edition http://www-pub.iaea.org/MTCD/Publications/PDF/RDS1 31.pdf
2013 Edition http://www-pub.iaea.org/MTCD/publications/PDF/RDS-1-33 web.pdf
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