Investor Presentaiton
Investor Presentation - First half 2022
Credit exposure: Limited and well-impaired exposure to agriculture and oil
Danske Bank
Agriculture exposure
•
•
African Swine Fewer (ASF), which spread to Germany in Q3 2020, Covid-19, Chinese
imports, and the RU/UA war is causing uncertainty for the industry. Therefore, post-
model adjustments of DKK 1bn are reserved to cover uncertainties.
Agriculture is generally affected by increased production costs as well as increased
prices on crops as a result of the war in Ukraine. The pork price rise from a low to a more
average level, but the elevated cost of especially feed keeps most pig farmers below the
breakeven point. The milk price keeps rising and is expected to stay high for the rest of
2022, resulting in high earnings for the dairy segment despite increased input costs.
Total accumulated impairments amounted to DKK 2.2bn by the end of Q2-22, against
DKK 2,7bn in 01-22, the decrease observed is mainly related to redistribution of post-
model adjustments.
Oil-related exposure
•
Total oil-related exposure* increased by DKK 0.1bn from the preceding. Danske Bank
has actively reduced its net oil-related exposure (excluding oil majors) by 55% since 04-
19.
Accumulated impairments at LC&I remains in par compared to the preceding quarter.
Most of the oil-related exposure is managed by specialist teams for customer
relationship and credit management at LC&I.
Agriculture by segment, Q2 22 (DKK m)
Oil-related exposure, Q2 22 [DKK m)
Gross credit
Portion
exposure
from RD
Expected credit
loss
Net credit
exposure
Stage 3
coverage ratio
Gross credit exposure
Expected credit loss
Net credit exposure
Personal Customers
Growing of crops, cereals, etc.
Dairy
Pig breeding
Mixed operations etc.
2911
1377
23
2 888
14%
1 163
875
9
1 154
12%
85
9
2
83
100%
401
372
0
401
100%
LC&I
Oil majors
Oil service
Offshore
11 162
779
10 383
3 742
1
3741
3283
140
3 143
4 137
638
3 499
1 262
121
12
1 250
100%
Personal Customers
1
0
1
Business Customers
50 360
31 137
2036
48 324
86%
Oil majors
0
0
0
Growing of crops, cereals, etc.
20 839
15 860
529
20310
86%
Oil service
1
0
1
Dairy
Pig breeding
Mixed operations etc.
LC&I
Northern Ireland
Others
8 646
5 623
684
7962
85%
Offshore
9416
7 064
463
8952
79%
Business Customers
153
8
145
11 460
2 590
360
11 101
99%
8 498
1 473
79
8419
98%
Oil majors
6
0
6
4381
71
4310
100%
222
0
222
Oil service
Offshore
Others
146
8
138
1
0
1
1
0
1
Total
66 372
33 988
2 209
64 163
85%
Total
11318
788
10 530
Share of Group net
exposure 202202
Share of Group net Stage 3
exposure 202202
Expected credit loss 202201
Share of Group net exposure
202202
Share of Group net Stage 3
exposure 202202
Expected credit loss 202201
2%
11%
2 661
0%
9%
* The credit exposure is reported as part of the shipping, oil and gas industry in our financial statements.
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