YE-21 CAPEX and Cash Flow Forecast
CLASSIFICATION: C1 - CONTROLLED
Macroeconomic updates
Aluminium prices ($/MT)
Alumina prices ($/MT)
3500
-Aluminium LME spot prices ($/MT)
750
Alumina spot prices ($/MT)
3000
650
2500
550
2000
450
1500
350
1000
250
1-Jan-20
31-Dec-20
31-Dec-21
1-Jan-20
31-Dec-20
31-Dec-21
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•
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Prices of aluminium continue to show strength on the back of renewed global demand, with sectors
such as construction and automotive industries witnessing growth, as global economies
sequentially recovered linked to market reopening and accelerated GDP growth.
Aluminium being a key input for electric vehicles (EVs), wind turbines and solar power, brings an
additional layer of long-term demand for primary aluminium.
As the power crisis in major markets has became more acute coupled with aggressive
decarbonization linked policy cuts has affected aluminium capacities aiding accelerated inventory
depletion.
On overall basis, while demand remained buoyant with limited supply, primary aluminium prices
reached multi-year high and led to improved margins for low cost producers.
16
Note: Market prices have been sourced from Bloomberg and may not reflect prices achieved by QAMCO JV QAMCO, IR Presentation, YE-21View entire presentation