State of Hawaii Investor Presentation slide image

State of Hawaii Investor Presentation

STATE OF Update on Council on Revenues Most Recent Council on Revenues Forecast Reflected the Maui Wildfires, but Still Materially Exceeds Pre-Pandemic Forecasts ■ Reduced FY 2024 COR forecast reflected reduced tax collections in FYTD 2024 and near-term impacts of the Maui wildfires Council on Revenues ("COR") Forecast September 2023 Meeting vs. May 2023 Meeting 6.00% 5.20% ■ Better than anticipated non-tax revenue forecast helps mitigate the impact on the General Fund financial plan 5.00% 4.00% ☐ September 2023 forecast exceeds pre-pandemic high forecast (Jan 2020) by 9.9% from 2024-2026, translating to $881 million of 4.00% 3.50% 3.50% 3.50% 3.00% additional revenue per year ☐ The next COR meeting is scheduled for January 2024 2.00% 1.30% 1.00% 0.00% 2024 May 2023 COR Forecast 2025 2026-2030 September 2023 COR Forecast Comparison of COR Forecasted Tax Revenues: May 2023 and September 2023 (Current) versus Jan 2020 (Pre-pandemic High)(1) ($MM) Fiscal Year Current (Sep-23) Versus Pre-pandemic High (Jan-2020) $13,000 $12,000 2024 +9.2% 2025 +10.5% 2026 +10.0% $11,000 $10,000 $9,000 $8,000 $7,000 $6,000 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Jan-20 May-23 Sep-23 11 1) Note: For Jan 2023 and Sept 2023 COR Forecast, data labels reflect actuals for FY 2019-FY 2023. For Jan 2020 Forecast, data labels reflect actuals for FY 2019. HAWAII
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