Assessing Climate Change Risk and Resilience in the Yukon slide image

Assessing Climate Change Risk and Resilience in the Yukon

Table 7 summarizes the risk scores for for the most significant impacts related to Priority 4. Table 7 No. 15 20 20 Summary of risk scores, Priority 4: Changing climate conditions that affect land, water, animals and plants Impact Risk score (1-25) Likelihood x Consequence Likelihood based on a score from 1 (very low) to 5 (very high) Consequences to values Changing winter INF FS conditions affect 12 15 EN 13 High: More likely than not to occur multiple times ⚫ Threats to wildlife ecosystems, CH AC CM wildlife and per decade; may occur annually Changes 13 14 14 to the land biodiversity LH EH HW 15 17 12 Freshwater INF FS EN temperatures rise 7 13 7 in some rivers and CH AC CM lakes, disrupting Snow, ice, water 10 7 9 ecosystems LH EH 12 13 HW 10 Changing climate S INF FS EN Moderate: More likely affects composi- 9 11 tion, distribution decade; may occur CH AC CM and movement of multiple times per Changes to the land 11 9 11 plants and animals decade LH EH HW Moderate: More likely than not to occur once per decade; may occur multiple times per decade 9 than not to occur once per and plant health and abundance Changes to migration patterns • Stress to wildlife habitats (terrestrial and aquatic) • Threats to biodiversity • Food security concerns Health and well-being impacts from reduced food security Impacts to cultural and community values from reduced access to • • • 11 15 12 country food Changing climate INF FS EN High: More likely than not conditions affect 8 19 9 to occur multiple times health and CH AC CM availability of per decade; may occur annually Changes to the land 18 10 15 plants and animals LH EH HW 17 20 14 A warming INF FS EN climate worsens 6 14 6 the spread of CH AC CM illness and High: More likely than not to occur multiple times per decade; may occur annually Changes to the land 12 6 14 parasites in plant and animals LH EH HW 12 16 16 23 24 26 46 Legend: The nine values: AC = Access CH = Culture and heritage CM = Community EH = Environmental Health FS = Food security HW = Health and well-being INF = Infrastructure LH = livelihoods Likelihood score: 1 = very low 2 = low 3 moderate 4 = high 5 = very high Risk score Low 0-4 Low 5-8 PAGE 24 Moderate 9-12 Moderate 13-15 EN = Energy High 16-20 High 21-25 ASSESSING CLIMATE CHANGE: RISK AND RESILIENCE IN THE YUKON
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