Investor Update April 2022 slide image

Investor Update April 2022

Gas/LNG Petroleum 2022 Petroleum and Gas Outlook $/bbl 150 100 50 Dubai ptt + Recovered demand driven by higher vaccination rates and low global crude inventories (GRM) + Geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine, and unrest in ME 24 Concern of Omicron variants pressure market sentiment 20 16 - OPEC+ agreed to continue increasing production 400 KBD/month from Aug'21 to Sep'22 and the market will be surplus from Q2'22 onwards 12 - Refinery maintenance season (Mar-Apr & Sept-Oct) - US supply gradually recover due to high crude price and the new budget year 8 - 4 · Iran may increase supply in 2H22 if US relief sanction relief within Q1 Mogas 0 + Rising mobility in Asia amid easing travel restriction measures + Lower Chinese export due to limited export quota + Support from US summer driving season in Q3 Concern on Omicron variant caused travel restriction in some countries - Easing supply from higher utilization rate along with recovered demand Gasoil + Demand recovery from the industrial and transportation sectors + Lower Chinese export due to limited export quota 1Q21 Dubai Price 2Q21 3Q21 4Q21 Mogas Gasoil 1Q22 HSFO 2Q22 3Q22 4Q22 ⚫VLSFO -Singapore GRM Y2021 4Q2021 1Q2022(E) Dubai Mogas Gasoil HSFO (3.5%S) 69.2 78.4 96-101 80.3 93.8 113-118 2022(E) 100-105 118-123 76.0 89.8 64.4 71.5 VLSFO (0.5%S) 75.4 85.3 Singapore GRM 3.4 6.1 115-120 85-90 108-113 6.5-7.5 118-123 92-97 111-116 6.0-7.0 + Low stock levels below 5 years average across all regions Source: PTT, PRISM Petroleum Rolling as of March 2022 $/MMBTU 40 Asian Spot LNG 35 30 Henry Hub 25 20 15 - Fading heating demand after winter ends Fuel Oil HSFO: + Higher demand from economic recovery and more installation of scrubber in marine vessels - Easing supply from OPEC+ and higher utilization rate along with recovered demand VLSFO: + Improved bunker demand following the increasing trading activities - - Higher supply from the increase in Chinese export quotas, higher utilization rate, and new capacity from Kuwait Singapore GRM + Improve following the recovery of gasoline and middle distillates Gas/LNG Asian Spot LNG: + Geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine + European gas stock hit a record low in Jan'22 1Q21 2Q21 3Q21 4Q21 1Q22 2Q22 3Q22 4Q22 Price Y2021 4Q2021 Asian Spot LNG 18.5 35.1 1Q2022(E) 26.3 2022(E) - Expected more US LNG export in 2022 22.7 Henry Hub (HH) 3.7 4.8 3.8 3.8 Henry Hub: + Recovered demand since the end of 2021 Source: FGE & EIA as of January 2022 Sufficient inventories during this winter in North Asia - US gas supply will increase more than demand, especially in 2H22 25
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