Investor Presentaiton
Independent Review of
RBD Is Bangladesh Rolling Towards A Debt Stress?
Bangladesh's Development
Adopted Methodology
□ In the wake of these new dynamics, CPD undertaking data analysis of debt sustainability in
Bangladesh and carrying out simulation exercise by injecting external flows, interest rate and
exchange rate shocks according to two methodologies
Condition of debt sustainability
A. Present value of external debt-GDP ratio < 40%
1. IMF/World Bank
Debt Sustainability
Framework
B. Present value of external debt-revenue ratio < 250%
2. Debt-Stabilising Primary
Balance Approach
C. Present value of debt service-revenue ratio < 20%
Condition of debt sustainability
A. Economic growth rate>Real Interest Rate
B. Actual Primary Balance (% of GDP) > Debt-
Stabilising Primary Balance (% of GDP)
CPD (2017): State of the Bangladesh Economy in FY2017 (First Reading)
C. Primary Balance Gap (% of GDP) ≤ 0
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