Investment and Growth Strategy
-10%
-12%
2014
-6%
-8%
0%
20%
30%
2010
40%
2011
50%
2012
60%
2013
2014
General Government Debt, External (% of GDP)
General Government Debt, Total (% of GDP)
PRELIMINARY ESTIMATES SHOW PUBLIC DEBT SHRINKING BELOW PRE-
COVID LEVELS AND THE FISCAL DEFICIT FALLING UNDER 3% OF GDP IN 2022
GENERAL GOVERNMENT DEBT (% OF GDP)
OVERALL BALANCE (IMF MODIFIED)*, % OF GDP
-2%
-2.3% -2.1%
-2.8% -2.7%
-4%
-3.0%
-2.7%
2018
-9.3%
-6.1%
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
60.1%
47.6%
41.8%
39.7%
36.4%
32.0%
29.8%
2020
2021
-2.3% -2.3%
-2.9% -2.8%
*CALCULATED AS NET ACQUISITION OF FINANCIAL ASSETS SUBTRACTED FROM PRELIMINARY ESTIMATES OF NET BORROWING.
Georgia Capital PLC | Source: Ministry of Finance
2023F
2024F
2025F
2026F
2022*
2023F
2024F
2025F
FISCAL SUPPORT HAS CONTINUED MODERATING
23.5%
-2.2%
2026F
Fiscal support has continued moderating, as the overall fiscal
balance (consolidated budget) posted a surplus of GEL 98 mn in
1Q23, up by 154% y-o-y;
The operating surplus (difference between current expenditures
and current revenues) reached GEL 840 mn, up by 23% y-o-y, in
1Q23;
On the expenditure side, current expenses grew by 10.6% y-o-y
and capital expenses increased by 14% y-o-y in 1Q23;
On the revenue side, tax revenues grew by 12.7% y-o-y in 1Q23,
facilitating a 12.4% growth in overall fiscal revenues;
Preliminary estimates show the overall deficit (net borrowing)
reaching 2.5% of GDP in 2022, with the IMF-modified deficit*
standing at 2.9%, below the 3% deficit rule;
Government debt is estimated to have fallen to under 40% of
GDP in 2022, lower than the pre-COVID level of 42% in 2019,
with external debt falling to under 30% of GDP, down from 32%
in 2019.
80
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