Global Wealth Management and Banking Overview
Mexican Economy
Solid mix of sectors
•
The Mexican economy reflects a solid mix of
commodities, goods production, and services
Trade with the U.S. is leading growth, but
Mexico's diversification agenda is also
underpinned by 14 free-trade agreements with
46 countries that account for 40% of global
GDP and include all G7 countries
Authorities' fiscal and debt indicators remain
sound
GDP Growth 2021F:
3.3%
GDP Growth 2022F:
2.1%
17.3%
Finance, Insurance,
& Real Estate
15.0%
Other
3.8%
Natural
Resources
5.3%
Transportation
& Warehousing
6.2%
Health & Education
MEXICAN GDP
BY INDUSTRY*
(Q3 2020)
1.9%
Professional,
Scientific,
& Technical
Services
4.3%
Public
Administration
17.5%
Wholesale &
Retail Trade
16.3%
Manufacturing
6.5%
Mining and Oil
& Gas Extraction
5.9%
Construction
* Q4-2020 real GDP growth -5.2% y/y. Industry GDP breakdown not yet available for Q4-2020.
Top 5 Trading Partners*
Contributions to Mexican GDP Growth
8
y/y % change
6
4
2
0
-2
-4
-6
-8
-10
Other*
-12
Investment
Net Exports
Government
Inventories
Consumption
-14
Real GDP
-16
-18
-20
17
18
19
20
*Statistical discrepancy, subject to revision.
Sources: Scotiabank Economics, Haver Analytics.
Others
19%
South Korea 2%
United
Germany 3%
States
61%
Canada
4%
China
11%
* Trade data updated as of Q3-2020
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