Investor Presentaiton
10
R million
Issuance strategy focused on long-end to reduce
refinancing risk
Structure of debt maturity profile and Yield Curve
R 150
R 120
R 90
R 60
R 30
RO
2014/2015
2017/2018
2020/2021
2023/2024
2026/2027
2029/2030
2032/2033
■Domestic Bonds Foreign bonds
2035/2036
2038/2039
Maturity
2041/2042
......
2044/2045
2047/2048
2050/2051
9
8
6
Per cent
5
151
153
163
175
R208
186
183
R186
158
157
R213
144
138
141
138
4
1
5
10
15
20
20
III
25
25
30
50
Years
Change in bps[rhs]
-Apr-13
-Oct-14
Source: National Treasury
national treasury
Department:
National Treasury
REPUBLIC OF SOUTH AFRICA
R2048
35
128
300
200
100
Basis points
Domestic Debt
Issuance concentrated on the long end of curve:
Issuance from 2008 to 2011 was concentrated in the short end
due to high investor risk aversion
Limited supply on short end due to high refinancing risk
Recently increasing domestic and foreign demand for long
dated paper
Foreign Debt
Issue only to finance foreign currency commitments
Issuance (tenure, yield, timing etc.) dependant on:
-
prevailing market conditions at time of issuance
Only two 30 year bonds issued in past three years.
Desire to push out maturity where appropriate
2014 issuance:
-
dual tranche 12 year, €500 million and 30 year US$1 billion.
5.75 year, US$500 million Islamic bond (Sukuk)
Elevated borrowing costs since April 2013
Yield curve has remained steep since May 2013 due to:
-
Risky emerging market assets sell-off
Issuance at the long-end of the curve
-
Monetary policy tightening
0
Fixed-rate bonds yield curve has moved by 156 basis points on
average since April 2013, Inflation- linked bonds by 58 basis points
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