H1 FY21 Finance and Cost Analysis slide image

H1 FY21 Finance and Cost Analysis

1. 2. 3. 4. 56 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 231 13. FOOTNOTES III SOUTH32 Metrics describing sustainability and Health, safety, environment and community performance apply to operations that have been wholly owned and operated by South32, or that have been operated by South32 in a joint arrangement. Total Recordable Injury Frequency (TRIF) per million hours worked and Total Recordable Illness Frequency (TRILF) per million hours worked, are all calculated in accordance with the United States Government Occupational Safety and Health Administration (OSHA) guidelines for the recording and reporting of occupational injuries and illnesses. Payable zinc equivalent (kt) was calculated by aggregating revenues from payable silver, lead and zinc, and dividing the total Revenue by the price of zinc. FY20 realised prices for zinc (US$1,416/t), lead (US$1,648/t) and silver (US$16.5/oz) have been used for H1 FY20, FY20, H1 FY21, FY21e and FY22e. Greenhouse gas (GHG) total includes Scope 1 and Scope 2 emissions, measured according to the World Resources Institute/World Business Council for Sustainable Development Greenhouse Gas Protocol (WRI/WBCSD). Refer to the FY20 Sustainability Report for additional information which is available at www.south32.net. Refers to Africans, Coloureds and Indians who are citizens of the Republic of South Africa by birth or descent (as more fully defined in the Broad-Based Black Economic Empowerment Amendment Act 2013, South Africa). H1 FY21 outcome reflects a definitional change (Presidents and Vice Presidents reporting to members of the South32 Lead Team to align with the Optimised Global Model). FY19 and FY20 outcomes are based on the previous definition (South32 leaders who report directly to the Lead Team). The Senior leadership target date is June 2021. Operational leadership refers to all General Managers and Managers reporting to Vice President Operations and all Managers reporting to General Managers at an Operation, excluding Functional Managers. The Operational leadership target date is June 2021. Operating margin comprises Underlying EBITDA excluding third party product EBITDA, divided by revenue excluding third party product revenue. Other includes insurance proceeds, lower depreciation and amortisation, and higher third party product EBIT. Underlying net finance costs and Underlying income tax expense are actual H1 FY21 results, not half-on-half variances. Metallurgical coal (Platts Low-Vol Hard Coking Coal index (FOB Australia)); Energy coal (Argus McCloskey AP14 Coal index 6,000Kcal NAR (FOB Richards Bay, South Africa)); Silver (Silver LME cash index); 44% manganese (Metal Bulletin 44% manganese lump ore index (CIF Tianjin, China)); Nickel (Nickel (LME) cash index); 37% manganese (Metal Bulletin 37% manganese lump ore index (FOB Port Elizabeth, South Africa)); Alumina (Platts Alumina Index (PAX) (FOB Australia)); Aluminium (Aluminium LME cash index); Lead (Lead LME cash index); and Zinc (Zinc LME cash index). Price-linked costs reflects commodity price-linked and market traded consumables costs, including the impact of smelter power costs. Other includes coke, freight and explosives. 14. H1 FY20 third party product cost is US$17M for aluminium, US$14M for alumina, US$176M for coal, $100M for freight services and US$43M for aluminium raw materials. H1 FY21 third party product cost is US$16M for aluminium, US$16M for alumina, US$85M for coal, US$83M for freight services and US$35M for aluminium raw materials. 15. 56 Other includes accounting related adjustments. 16. FY21 new Operating unit cost guidance includes royalties (where appropriate) and the influence of exchange rates, and includes various assumptions for FY21, including: an alumina price of US$270/t; an average blended coal price (including coal wash sales) of US$96/t for Illawarra Metallurgical Coal; a manganese ore price of US$4.55/dmtu for 44% manganese product; a nickel price of US$7.51/lb; a thermal coal price of US$77/t (AP14) for South Africa Energy Coal; a silver price of US$25.15/troy oz; a lead price of US$1,952/t (gross of treatment and refining charges); a zinc price of US$2,597/t (gross of treatment and refining charges); an AUD:USD exchange rate of 0.75; a USD:ZAR exchange rate of 15.69; a USD: COP exchange rate of 3,594; and a reference price for caustic soda; all of which reflected forward markets as at January 2021 or our internal expectations. 17. 18. 19. 20. 21. FOB ore Operating unit cost is Revenue less Underlying EBITDA, freight and marketing costs, divided by ore sales volume. Cannington Operating unit cost is Revenue less Underlying EBITDA divided by ore processed. Periodic movements in finished product inventory may impact Operating unit costs as related marketing costs may change. Distributions include dividends and the net repayment of shareholder loans from manganese EAI. Other includes investments in/proceeds from financial investments and net loan drawdowns from other EAI, the purchase of shares by South32 Limited Employee Incentive Plan Trusts, exchange rate variations on net debt, other movements in leases and capitalised exploration. FY21 prior Operating unit cost guidance included royalties (where appropriate) and the influence of exchange rates, and included various assumptions for FY21, including: an alumina price of US$250/t; an average blended coal price of US$103/t for Illawarra Metallurgical Coal; a manganese ore price of US$4.83/dmtu for 44% manganese product; a nickel price of US$5.78/lb; a thermal coal price of US$56/t (AP14) for South Africa Energy Coal; a silver price of US$18.20/troy oz; a lead price of US$1,788/t (gross of treatment and refining charges); a zinc price of US$2,102/t (gross of treatment and refining charges); an AUD:USD exchange rate of 0.69; a USD:ZAR exchange rate of 17.68; a USD: COP exchange rate of 3,665; and a reference price for caustic soda; all of which reflected forward markets as at June 2020 or our internal expectations. 22. Operating unit cost illustrative comparison based on mid-point of guidance. 23. 2222 24. 25. 26. Price-linked costs reflect commodity price-linked and market traded consumables costs. Sources: LME, Baiinfo, Aladinny, AZ China, CRU, Platts, Jacobs. Calculation assumes 1t of aluminium, 1.9t alumina, 0.35t coke, 0.075t pitch and 0.02t aluminium tri-fluoride. Balance sheet movement (US$568M) reflects net impact of a US$115M increase in provisions as a result of amounts capitalised to the provision as a result of a review of underlying cash flow assumptions relating to open mines, a US$228M increase in provisions associated with the capitalisation of foreign exchange impacts on restatement of closure provisions relating to open sites, a US$235M increase in provisions associated with the capitalisation of discount rate change impacts and a US$10M decrease as a result of utilisation. Unwind of discount applied to closure and rehabilitation provisions. The denotation (e) refers to an estimate or forecast year. The following abbreviations have been used throughout this presentation: aluminium tri-fluoride (ATF); cost, insurance and freight (CIF); equity accounted investments (EAI); free on board (FOB); hard coking coal (HCC); pulverized coal injection (PCI); Illawarra Metallurgical Coal (IMC); Mineração Rio do Norte (MRN); Premium Concentrate Ore (PC02); pre-feasibility study (PFS); and feasibility study (FS). SLIDE 41
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