Banking Sector Financial Highlights
18.0%
10.6%
Real GDP y-o-y growth
Strong economic growth persisted in the first nine months of the year
2011-2022
average
2021
2022
9M23
2023F
2024F
4.7%
10.5%
10.1%
6.8%
6.8%
5.0%
14.6%
11.6%
11.0%
10.5%
9.7%
9.3%
2.6%
7.3%7.5%
7.7%
8.8%
8.4%
8.3%
5.8%
7.2%
Jan-22
Feb-22
Mar-22
Apr-22
May-22
Jun-22
Jul-22
Aug-22
Sep-22
Source: GeoStat, Galt & Taggart
Oct-22
Nov-22
Dec-22
Jan-23
Feb-23
7.0%
5.8%
5.5%
Mar-23
Apr-23
May-23
Jun-23
Jul-23
Aug-23
Key drivers of growth in 3Q23:
Robust inflows from tourism and exports,
increasing from last year's high base:
Tourism revenues up 5.3% y-o-y (+29.2%
y-o-y in 9M23)
Export of goods increased 1.6% y-o-y
(+12.7% y-o-y in 9M23)
Strong domestic demand driven by investment
and consumption spending
Increased activity in the trade, construction,
and ICT sectors
5.1%
Growth outlook:
Real GDP growth is expected at 6.8% in 2023,
driven by strong consumption and investment
expenditure along with resilient external
inflows
Geopolitical instability in the region and tight
conditions contribute
global financial
downside risks to the outlook
to
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