Investor Presentation
Deconstructing Timberland Returns - Illustrative Acquisitions
Illustrative Acquisition Scenario A - Low Productivity Asset / Bottom Quartile Market
Assumed Portfolio Profile
Expected Components of Return
Return Components (% of Total)
6.0%
Location
MS-1
5.0%
Composite Stumpage Price (1)
1.7%
$10.11
4.0%
34%
36%
3.0%
0.5%
Site Index
65
5.0%
1.0%
2.0%
(0.5%)
Volume per Acre per Year (2)
3.2
1.0%
2.3%
Implied EBITDA per Acre (3)
$32
Assumed Value per Acre
$1,500
Increases
30%
EBITDA (Capex) Productivity HBU
Return
Gains Uplift
Real Price Real Return ■ Cash Yield Productivity / HBU ▪ Price Increases
Illustrative Acquisition Scenario B – High Productivity Asset / Top Quartile Market
-
Assumed Portfolio Profile
Expected Components of Return
6.0%
Location
FL-1
5.0%
Composite Stumpage Price (1)
$20.48
4.0%
0.3%
0.5%
(0.5%) 0.5%
Return Components (% of Total)
6%
20%
Site Index
80
3.0%
5.0%
2.0%
4.2%
Volume per Acre per Year (2)
5.0
74%
1.0%
Implied EBITDA per Acre (3)
$102
Assumed Value per Acre
$2,500
EBITDA
Return
(Capex) Productivity HBU
Gains Uplift
Real Price Real Return
Increases
"
■ Cash Yield Productivity / HBU ▪ Price Increases
(1)
(2)
Rayonier (3)
Based on TimberMart-South 2019 regional average composite stumpage price assuming mix of 50% pulpwood, 30% chip-n-saw and 20% sawtimber.
Growth and yield predictions based on PMRC 1996 (Loblolly PMRC TR-1996-1 and Slash PMRC TR-1996-3) with FMRC Fastlob 3.0 Fertilizer response equations. Assumes
mix of plantation/hardwood acreage and loblolly / slash species based on Rayonier portfolio averages.
Assumes non-timber income roughly offsets timber management costs for illustration purposes.
Investor Presentation | May 2020
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