Investor Presentaiton
KBC
Looking forward
Economic
outlook
20
of 74
While at the end of 2022 some of the headwinds to the global economy turned into tailwinds (mild winter weather, significant structural
savings in gas consumption...) and despite strong economic resilience last year, we expect a broad-based slowdown
Inflation may have peaked in major economies as headline inflation turned lower in the US and the euro area. Going forward, we expect
inflation to gradually decelerate as energy inflation falls back and core inflation gradually decreases
We expect central banks (i.e. FED and ECB) to continue their rate hikes in the first half of 2023, while early moving CEE-central banks such as
the CNB and NBH remain in a wait-and-see stance against a backdrop of still high inflation
Group
guidance
for 2023*
Our FY23 total income guidance stands at 9.4bn EUR ballpark figure (including a 0.4bn EUR positive one-off effect upon closing of
substantially all of KBC Bank Ireland's performing loan assets and its deposit book), of which 5.7bn EUR ballpark for NII
FY23 opex excluding bank taxes is estimated at 4.4bn EUR ballpark figure
The credit cost ratio for 2023 is estimated at 20-25bps (below the through-the-cycle CCR of 25-30bps), excluding any movement in the ECL
buffer
Basel 4
guidance
The B4 impact on RWA will be phased-in, and therefore the first-time application RWA impact in 2025 will only be approximately 3bn EUR
Our Group guidance for 2023 is based on the market forward rates of 3 February 2023 (for ST & LT interest rates). We took into account a pass-through rate of 40% on saving accounts and 80% on term
deposits at KBC Group level. Volume growth in 2023 is estimated at roughly 3-4% y-o-y. Note that IFRS17 impact is not yet taken into account (explanatory slides will be provided on 18 April 2023)
Highlights
Profit & Loss
Capital & Liquidity
Looking forward
BU & FY22 view
Company profile
KBC Strategy
Sustainability
Asset quality
MREL & FundingView entire presentation