Investor Presentaiton
Canada: Consumer and Business
Observing signs of economic recovery
Business Confidence - CFIB Business Barometer
Key Economic Indicators
140
index, Feb 2020 levels 100
75
index, 50 stronger
120
70
65
Avg. 2011-
present
100
60
80
5544 232
3-month moving
60
6-month moving
50
average
average
40
20
40
35
Feb
Headline index
30
25
܂
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
20
Sources: Scotiabank Economics, CFIB.
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Auto Sales
Housing Starts
Employment
Mfg Shipments
Retail Sales
Manufacturing PMI
Exports
Sources: Scotiabank Economics, Bloomberg.
Canada Auto Sales
Canada Real Retail Sales
105
Feb 2020-100
100
95
90
mn, saar units
2.0
1.8
1.6
1.4
1.2
1.0
0.8
0.6
GOGO
885
85
80
75
70
65
0.4
Q1-19 Q2-19 Q3-19 Q4-19 Q1-20 Q2-20 Q3-20 Q4-20 Q1-21 Q2-21 Q3-21 Q4-21
60
Sources: Scotiabank Economics, DesRosiers Automotive Consultants Inc.
Apr-19
Jul-19
Oct-19
Jan-19
Sources: Scotiabank Economics, Statistics Canada.
Jan-20
Apr-20
Jul-20
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