Donor Co-Financing Assessment for New Country Strategy slide image

Donor Co-Financing Assessment for New Country Strategy

4. Defining EBRD Country Strategy Priorities What needs to change? (Country Diagnostic) No single economic space. High decentralisation with different business regulations and procedures across the two entities. • Low SME productivity, including due to the lack of know-how and skills. Focus on basic digital technologies. Lack of awareness and IT skills. • One of the most challenging labour market situations in the region, including high emigration and poor inclusion of women and youth. Limited forward and backward linkages. Focus on low value added activities in global value chains. • Low efficiency of SOES and weak capacity at local level. Large, inefficient SOES with weak corporate governance due to complex and fragmented governance framework, inadequate responsibilities of the supervisory boards, and weak internal audit frameworks. • Inadequate transport infrastructure; ranks low on road connectivity and non-road transport infrastructure. Highest energy intensity in the region, four times the EU average. • Around 60 per cent of electricity is generated from coal (lignite). High level of air pollution. •No bankable market-based support mechanism for new renewable projects. • Significant climate change vulnerabilities and high risk of flooding. • . Can it be changed? (Political Economy) Strengthening the rule of law and aligning laws and regulations to those in the EU is needed to facilitate the EU accession process. • Increased awareness and better IT skills based on existing strengths could lead to enhanced digitalisation. Large and expanding diaspora may support know-how and skill transfers. Thanks to industrial heritage, the country has relatively strong manufacturing base. • Weak financial performance of many SOES could eventually be an impetus for SOE reform and governance improvements. • Satisfaction with public services and transport infrastructure is low, supporting reforms linked to infrastructure improvements needed to align with EU transport acquis. Completion of Corridor Vc motorway continues to be top local and regional transport priority. EU and Energy Community Treaty obligations require changes to the energy system • Potential carbon border tax adjustment could significantly hurt industry and manufacturing sector Adopted an updated enhanced NDC; need to deliver comprehensive and Paris-aligned NECP and Just Transition approach, that also addresses socio- economic risks. What can the Bank do? (Institutional Capabilities) • Focus on supporting the private sector directly or indirectly through the combination of investment, policy engagement to enhance the environment for business and technical assistance, including finance and advice for SMEs. Support for the access to skills and employment. Comprehensive approach to strengthening digital transition. • Extensive experience with support for privatisations and SOES reforms, including corporate governance improvements and public procurement reform. • Focus on regional integration • Close cooperation with the EU and other IFI on reform agenda, governance reforms and infrastructure investments. • Systematic and innovative approach to identifying and investing in sustainable (municipal) infrastructure (Green Cities). Support for the transition to a green, low carbon and climate resilient economy and NECP implementation through the new GET Approach. • Emphasis on a reduction in energy intensity and the level of carbon emissions while managing adjustmentCcosts (Just Transition). Strategic Priorities (2022-2027) Strengthen the private sector role, including through upgrade of skills and digitalisation Close key infrastructure gaps pursuing governance improvements and further regional integration Support energy diversification away from coal and promote low carbon transition European Bank for Reconstruction and Development What We Want to see (Key Objectives) Enhance private sector competitiveness and access to finance, including support for digitalisation and adoption of improved products and processes Improve business skills, standards and business sophistication; Enhance vocational, digital and green skills development and equal opportunities Support business and capital markets environment, FDI investment and integration of local companies into value chains Strengthen corporate and economic governance practices; increase efficiency of SOE including at local level; enhance legal, regulatory and institutional frameworks Improve quality and connectivity of key infrastructure for economic efficiency Increase energy and resource efficiency . Reduce GHG emissions, promote climate resilience the gradual energy transition; reinforce networks to promote energy resilience 12
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