Investor Presentaiton
MACQUARIE AUSTRALIA CONFERENCE
Reimagine Urban Life
Residential well placed for undersupplied market
mirvac
<1.4%
80%
PRE-SOLD
Residential
vacancy³
> 288 (1,133 FYTD) lot sales in Q3 remain subdued impacted by rising
interest rates, fewer product launches and lower first home buyer activity
> Pick up in leads over the quarter and into April, above 10 year average
> Pre-sales balance increased modestly to ~$1.8bn¹
> 319 (1,126 FYTD) settlements, heavy Q4 skew expected, wet weather
continues to hamper delivery schedules
> Defaults remain low 0.2%²
> Flexible launch program in place ready to take advantage of pickup
in activity
APARTMENTS IN ESTABLISHED PRECINCTS SELLING WELL
Underlying market fundamentals remain supportive
76%
PRE-SOLD
74%
PRE-SOLD
Pavilions, NSW F
100%
SOLD
Ascot Green, QLD
Waterfront Isle, QLD
New residential leads improving
16,000 leads
12,000
8,000
4,000
0
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
FY19
FY20
Q2
Green Square, NSW
Note: All images are artist impressions, final design may differ.
Australian housing supply/demand balance
Net new dwelling supply minus total households housing requirement
40,000 dwellings
20,000
0
(20,000)
(40,000)
(60,000)
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
FY21
FY22
Q2
FY23
Q3
2023
2024
2025
Apartments MPC
2026
2027
>40%
Discount between
apartment and
established
house price
+2%
Total Australian
population growth
CY20225
2022 forecast 2023 forecast
Source: National Housing Finance and Investment Corporation
1. Represents Mirvac's share of total pre-sales and includes GST. 2. 12-month rolling default rate as at 31 March 2023. 3. Source: SQM Research/Macrobond March 2023. Vacancy rate (all dwellings, seasonally adjusted), Sydney, Melbourne & Brisbane. 4. Source: CoreLogic Greater Sydney
6 month median, March 2023. 5. Source: Reserve Bank of Australia, Monetary Policy, Demand and Supply, 5 April 2023.
MAY 2023 15View entire presentation