Investor Presentaiton
2021 INVESTOR DAY
Carbon Constrained Asia: Illustrative example
Aurizon Free Cash Flow is resilient¹ in response to global coal volume fluctuations
AURIZON
LEGEND:
>2% favourable
>2% adverse
increase/decrease vs. today
INDICATIVE IMPACT TO KEY METRICS (BASED ON ASSUMPTIONS
MODELLED 2020-2040):
CARBON CONSTRAINED ASIA SCENARIO
[
Global Coal Demand (Volumes)
Global Demand Mt
(CAGR)
Volume
Competitive Australian Coal Exports
Aus. Supply Mt
(CAGR)
Aurizon Contracted Volumes
Revenue
Aurizon Revenue
OPEX
Aurizon Opex
CAPEX
Aurizon Capex²
Aurizon Free Cash Flow
AZJ Mt
(CAGR)
AZJ $
(CAGR)
AZJ $
(CAGR)
AZJ $
(% delta)
AZJ $
(CAGR)
AURIZON
THERMAL
MET.
NETWORK
BULK
AZJ GROUP
MARKET
дав
AURIZON
CAGR
Compound Annual Growth Rate
1. As noted on slide 2 these are scenarios (and associated cash flow modelling) not predictions or forecasts and do not constitute definitive outcomes for Aurizon. It is difficult to predict which, if any, of these scenarios might eventuate. Further details of the scenarios,
assumptions and levers to model free cash flow are described in detail on slides 22-33
2. Capex CAGR not meaningful, therefore expressed as a % delta in annualised average Capex under the scenario relative to present-day expenditure
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