Solar Market and Cost Analysis slide image

Solar Market and Cost Analysis

Modules Imported (GWdc) 8.0 7.0 6.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 U.S. Module Imports by Region U.S. Module (c-Si + CdTe) Imports by Region Q1 2020 Q4 TO Q2 Q3 2021 2022 Q3 Oct-Nov Malaysia Vietnam Thailand Cambodia ■South Korea India China Rest of Asia N. America ■ROW - In Q3 2022, U.S. module imports continued their upward trend (+14%, 890 MW dc q/q), totaling 18.3 GWdc in Q1-Q3 2022 (-2% y/y, -460 MWdc). Import levels had decreased after the withhold release order (WRO) on PV cells and modules was announced in late Q2 2021. Additionally, many manufacturers in Southeast Asia had reduced production levels earlier in the year with the announcement of a U.S. antidumping and countervailing duties circumvention investigation. When the 2-year waiver was announced in June, manufacturers said it would take time to ramp production back up. As in Q2, the Q3 increase was predominantly the result of increased imports from Vietnam (+41% q/q, 847 MW). Imports from Canada and Mexico grew nearly threefold in Q1-Q3 2022 (+290 MW y/y). Though Q4 is not yet complete, it has already nearly matched Q3 imports. This has been mainly the result of imports from Vietnam, which totaled nearly 2.7 GW (2.2 GW c-Si + 0.5 GW thin film) over October and November. Imports from India have also doubled from Q3 to the as- yet-incomplete Q4 (+120 MW). Sources: Imports by HTS code: 8541460015(2018-2021)/8541430010(2022-) and 8541460035(2018-2021)/8541430080(2022-), Second Quantity (watts) from the U.S. International Trade Commission DataWeb as well as the U.S. Census Bureau USA Trade Online tool and corrections page as of 1/23/23. NREL 49
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